L’École des cotes

Estudiantes La Plata v Cusco FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 22:00 UTC

Score final : Estudiantes La Plata 2–1 Cusco FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Estudiantes La Plata (Local)

Prévision 80.53%1.24cote équitable
EV -4.17%
Avantage -3.50%
Kelly -21.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.82%80.60%80.43%82.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.151.151.1990.09%86.73%86.96%84.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cusco FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 5.40%18.54cote équitable
EV +18.69%
Avantage +0.850%
Kelly +0.890%
Croissance +0.166%

avec la cote maximale 22.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.24%5.45%5.41%7.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
12.5017.4517.5022.008.00%5.73%5.71%4.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 14.07%7.11cote équitable
EV +12.57%
Avantage +1.57%
Kelly +1.80%
Croissance +0.226%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.23%13.95%14.17%16.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.776.758.0018.18%14.76%14.81%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 82.88%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.23%EV +12.57%E +1.57%K +1.80%G +0.226%2.2%2026-04-14 21:30
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 82.88%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.23%EV +12.57%E +1.57%K +1.80%G +0.226%2.2%2026-04-14 21:30
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 82.38%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%5.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%6.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%6.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%6.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%6.3%2026-04-14 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.64%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%7.1%2026-04-14 21:30
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 82.44%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000%20.41I 4.90%NM 4.69%EV +10.11%E +0.496%K +0.521%G +0.053%7.43I 13.46%NM 12.87%EV +4.55%E +0.613%K +0.708%G +0.032%4.6%2026-04-14 21:45
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.11%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.30%EV -20.15%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.41I 13.50%NM 12.59%EV +4.27%E +0.576%K +0.666%G +0.028%7.2%2026-04-14 21:50
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.61%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +18.69%E +0.850%K +0.890%G +0.166%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.15%EV -0.092%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 21:29
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.39%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.01%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:28
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.49%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -13.68%E -0.855%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:50
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -19.07%E -1.27%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 21:30
Suprabets1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 21:27
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:03
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.11%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 21:30
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.95%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -2.89%E -0.160%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 21:29
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 81.95%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -2.89%E -0.160%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 21:30
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 81.95%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -2.89%E -0.160%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 21:29
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 80.24%EV -4.17%E -3.50%K -21.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 13:59
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.24%EV -4.17%E -3.50%K -21.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:00
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.24%EV -4.17%E -3.50%K -21.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:04
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.78%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -19.07%E -1.27%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 21:45
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.98%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -24.47%E -1.75%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 21:30
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.08%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 21:45
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:30
William Hill1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:29
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 80.90%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.28%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-14 21:30
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 80.69%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -9.94%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 21:45
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.69%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -9.94%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 21:45
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.39%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.31%EV -9.94%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 21:43
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +13.30%E +0.633%K +0.665%G +0.088%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -12.05%E -1.93%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 21:45
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.62%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -12.05%E -1.93%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 18:00
Codere (IT)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.80%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -12.76%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 21:45
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.55%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -19.07%E -1.27%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 21:44
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 12:59
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 13:00
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 78.35%EV -9.80%E -8.75%K -81.69%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.02%EV -32.56%E -2.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-14 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 78.62%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.23%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.15%EV -22.61%E -4.11%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-14 21:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.72%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.45%0.4%2026-04-14 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.72%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.45%0.4%2026-04-14 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.72%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.45%0.4%2026-04-14 21:50
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 83.44%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.94%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.62%1.6%2026-04-14 21:50