The School of Odds

Cruzeiro v Flamengo-RJ

2026-08-12 00:00 — Copa Libertadores

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Cruzeiro (Local)

2.3043.48%Min
2.5938.54%Mean
2.6038.46%Median
2.8035.71%Max
31.68%3.157Min
36.89%2.710Max
35.88%2.787Mean
36.02%2.776Median
35.95%2.782IQM
35.87%2.788Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.80 under the IQM model: 35.95%

EV +0.662%Edge +0.236%Kelly +0.368%Growth +0.002%

Option 2: Flamengo-RJ (Visit)

2.4041.67%Min
2.5838.81%Mean
2.6038.46%Median
2.7536.36%Max
33.96%2.945Min
36.42%2.746Max
35.05%2.853Mean
35.02%2.855Median
35.16%2.844IQM
35.04%2.854Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.75 under the IQM model: 35.16%

EV -3.30%Edge -1.20%Kelly -1.89%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

2.7037.04%Min
3.1331.93%Mean
3.2530.77%Median
3.3130.21%Max
27.78%3.600Min
32.85%3.044Max
29.07%3.439Mean
28.96%3.453Median
28.89%3.462IQM
29.08%3.438Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.31 under the IQM model: 28.89%

EV -4.39%Edge -1.33%Kelly -1.90%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

BookmakerCruzeiro (Local) ▼Flamengo-RJ (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71% NM 31.68%EV +0.662% E +0.236% K +0.368% G +0.002%2.50I 40.00% NM 35.48%EV -12.09% E -4.84% K -8.06% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 32.85%EV -22.01% E -8.15% K -12.95% G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 15:01
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71% NM 31.68%EV +0.662% E +0.236% K +0.368% G +0.002%2.50I 40.00% NM 35.48%EV -12.09% E -4.84% K -8.06% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 32.85%EV -22.01% E -8.15% K -12.95% G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 15:00
Neds2.80I 35.71% NM 31.68%EV +0.662% E +0.236% K +0.368% G +0.002%2.50I 40.00% NM 35.48%EV -12.09% E -4.84% K -8.06% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 32.85%EV -22.01% E -8.15% K -12.95% G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 15:00
Coral2.80I 35.71% NM 31.68%EV +0.662% E +0.236% K +0.368% G +0.002%2.50I 40.00% NM 35.48%EV -12.09% E -4.84% K -8.06% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 32.85%EV -22.01% E -8.15% K -12.95% G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 14:59
1xBet2.73I 36.63% NM 35.17%EV -1.85% E -0.679% K -1.07% G +0.000%2.68I 37.31% NM 35.82%EV -5.76% E -2.15% K -3.43% G +0.000%3.31I 30.21% NM 29.01%EV -4.39% E -1.33% K -1.90% G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 08:50
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74% NM 35.68%EV -4.73% E -1.79% K -2.87% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 35.68%EV -6.82% E -2.57% K -4.13% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.65%EV -4.68% E -1.42% K -2.03% G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 02:59
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74% NM 35.23%EV -4.73% E -1.79% K -2.87% G +0.000%2.61I 38.31% NM 35.77%EV -8.22% E -3.15% K -5.11% G +0.000%3.22I 31.06% NM 29.00%EV -6.99% E -2.17% K -3.15% G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-04 08:50
SportsBet2.62I 38.17% NM 35.44%EV -5.81% E -2.22% K -3.59% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.42%EV -10.33% E -4.05% K -6.67% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.14%EV -4.68% E -1.42% K -2.03% G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-04 11:09
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46% NM 35.92%EV -6.53% E -2.51% K -4.08% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.96%EV -3.30% E -1.20% K -1.89% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 30.12%EV -10.45% E -3.37% K -4.98% G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 20:20
Unibet2.60I 38.46% NM 35.71%EV -6.53% E -2.51% K -4.08% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.71%EV -8.57% E -3.30% K -5.36% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.57%EV -6.12% E -1.88% K -2.72% G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
Casumo2.60I 38.46% NM 35.71%EV -6.53% E -2.51% K -4.08% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.71%EV -8.57% E -3.30% K -5.36% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.57%EV -6.12% E -1.88% K -2.72% G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46% NM 35.71%EV -6.53% E -2.51% K -4.08% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.71%EV -8.57% E -3.30% K -5.36% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.57%EV -6.12% E -1.88% K -2.72% G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
BetRivers2.60I 38.46% NM 35.71%EV -6.53% E -2.51% K -4.08% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.71%EV -8.57% E -3.30% K -5.36% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.57%EV -6.12% E -1.88% K -2.72% G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46% NM 35.71%EV -6.53% E -2.51% K -4.08% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.71%EV -8.57% E -3.30% K -5.36% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.57%EV -6.12% E -1.88% K -2.72% G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:01
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46% NM 35.71%EV -6.53% E -2.51% K -4.08% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.71%EV -8.57% E -3.30% K -5.36% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.57%EV -6.12% E -1.88% K -2.72% G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 14:59
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46% NM 35.71%EV -6.53% E -2.51% K -4.08% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.71%EV -8.57% E -3.30% K -5.36% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.57%EV -6.12% E -1.88% K -2.72% G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46% NM 35.71%EV -6.53% E -2.51% K -4.08% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.71%EV -8.57% E -3.30% K -5.36% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.57%EV -6.12% E -1.88% K -2.72% G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
Betsson2.58I 38.76% NM 36.28%EV -7.25% E -2.81% K -4.59% G +0.000%2.68I 37.31% NM 34.92%EV -5.76% E -2.15% K -3.43% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.80%EV -6.12% E -1.88% K -2.72% G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 19:50
NordicBet2.58I 38.76% NM 36.28%EV -7.25% E -2.81% K -4.59% G +0.000%2.68I 37.31% NM 34.92%EV -5.76% E -2.15% K -3.43% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.80%EV -6.12% E -1.88% K -2.72% G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 19:49
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22% NM 36.24%EV -8.33% E -3.27% K -5.37% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 34.88%EV -6.82% E -2.57% K -4.13% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.88%EV -7.57% E -2.36% K -3.44% G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 22:09
PlayUp2.55I 39.22% NM 35.91%EV -8.33% E -3.27% K -5.37% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 35.91%EV -10.33% E -4.05% K -6.67% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.18%EV -6.12% E -1.88% K -2.72% G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-10 13:19
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22% NM 35.84%EV -8.33% E -3.27% K -5.37% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.15%EV -8.57% E -3.30% K -5.36% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.01%EV -9.01% E -2.86% K -4.19% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-02 10:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.55I 39.22% NM 35.66%EV -8.33% E -3.27% K -5.37% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.37%EV -12.09% E -4.84% K -8.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.98%EV -6.12% E -1.88% K -2.72% G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 12:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22% NM 35.59%EV -8.33% E -3.27% K -5.37% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 35.59%EV -10.33% E -4.05% K -6.67% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.81%EV -9.01% E -2.86% K -4.19% G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 15:01
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22% NM 35.59%EV -8.33% E -3.27% K -5.37% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 35.59%EV -10.33% E -4.05% K -6.67% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.81%EV -9.01% E -2.86% K -4.19% G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 15:01
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00% NM 36.11%EV -10.12% E -4.05% K -6.75% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.11%EV -12.09% E -4.84% K -8.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.78%EV -6.12% E -1.88% K -2.72% G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-04 11:08
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55% NM 36.89%EV -15.52% E -6.60% K -11.49% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 34.68%EV -12.09% E -4.84% K -8.06% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 28.43%EV -11.90% E -3.90% K -5.80% G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-30 14:59
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55% NM 36.72%EV -15.52% E -6.60% K -11.49% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 34.52%EV -12.09% E -4.84% K -8.06% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 28.76%EV -13.34% E -4.45% K -6.67% G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-30 15:00
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92% NM 36.95%EV -16.24% E -6.97% K -12.21% G +0.000%2.52I 39.68% NM 34.16%EV -11.39% E -4.52% K -7.49% G +0.000%2.98I 33.56% NM 28.89%EV -13.92% E -4.67% K -7.03% G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-30 15:00
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48% NM 36.52%EV -17.31% E -7.53% K -13.32% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 35.00%EV -15.61% E -6.50% K -11.15% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 28.48%EV -14.79% E -5.01% K -7.58% G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-30 15:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth