Language:English
Cruzeiro v Flamengo-RJ
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cruzeiro (Local)
Prediction 31.85%3.14fair odd
EV +0.951%
Edge +0.300%
Kelly +0.438%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.96%31.86%31.90%33.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.912.903.1737.04%34.33%34.48%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Flamengo-RJ (Visit)
Prediction 36.87%2.71fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.866%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.75%36.87%36.92%38.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.522.502.6542.55%39.72%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.28%3.20fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -0.974%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%31.28%31.18%32.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.932.943.1036.36%34.12%34.01%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cruzeiro (Local): 31.85%; Flamengo-RJ (Visit): 36.87%; Draw: 31.28%. For Cruzeiro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.951%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.96%EV +0.951%E +0.300%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -9.30%E -3.78%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.44%EV -5.52%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.88%EV +0.314%E +0.100%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.70%EV -2.29%E -0.866%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.42%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 23:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.88%EV +0.314%E +0.100%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.70%EV -2.29%E -0.866%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.42%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 23:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -1.92%E -0.622%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -1.92%E -0.622%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.90%EV -3.83%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.92%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -3.33%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 00:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%EV -3.03%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.21%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -8.65%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -8.65%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.92%EV -5.74%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.48%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.60%EV -6.46%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 09:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -5.74%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -7.40%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 04:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 04:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.02%E -0.974%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 21:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.28%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.28%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.02%E -0.974%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -13.36%E -5.68%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.08%EV -9.88%E -3.49%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.57%EV -7.09%E -2.39%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -12.42%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-12 04:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-13 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-13 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -10.21%E -3.56%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -10.21%E -3.56%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.00%EV -11.51%E -4.80%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.10%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 04:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 0.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
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