Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cruzeiro v Flamengo-RJ

Inizio: 2026-08-13 00:30 UTC

Finale: Cruzeiro 1–1 Flamengo-RJ

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

47 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cruzeiro (Casa)

Previsione 31.85%3.14quota equa
EV +0.951%
Vantaggio +0.300%
Kelly +0.438%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.96%31.86%31.90%33.16%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.912.903.1737.04%34.33%34.48%31.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Flamengo-RJ (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.87%2.71quota equa
EV -2.29%
Vantaggio -0.866%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.75%36.87%36.92%38.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.522.502.6542.55%39.72%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 31.28%3.20quota equa
EV -3.02%
Vantaggio -0.974%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.82%31.28%31.18%32.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.932.943.1036.36%34.12%34.01%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Cruzeiro (Casa): 31.85%; Flamengo-RJ (Trasferta): 36.87%; Pareggio: 31.28%. Per Cruzeiro (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.14. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.17, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.951%.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 29.96%EV +0.951%E +0.300%K +0.438%G +0.004%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -9.30%E -3.78%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.44%EV -5.52%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 00:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.88%EV +0.314%E +0.100%K +0.146%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.70%EV -2.29%E -0.866%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.42%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-12 23:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.88%EV +0.314%E +0.100%K +0.146%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.70%EV -2.29%E -0.866%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.42%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-12 23:34
BetOnline.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -1.92%E -0.622%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -1.92%E -0.622%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 00:04
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.90%EV -3.83%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.92%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -3.33%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 00:20
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 00:19
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%EV -3.03%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.21%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 15:54
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 00:15
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-12 21:34
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-12 21:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-12 21:34
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -8.65%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-13 00:24
NordicBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -8.65%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-13 00:24
GTbets🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.92%EV -5.74%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.48%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.60%EV -6.46%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 09:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -5.74%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -7.40%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-13 00:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 21:25
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 00:24
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-12 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-12 23:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 04:49
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 04:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.02%E -0.974%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 21:14
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-12 23:55
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-13 00:15
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 00:24
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 00:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 00:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-12 23:35
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.28%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-13 00:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.28%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-13 00:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.02%E -0.974%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 00:24
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 00:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -13.36%E -5.68%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-13 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-12 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-12 23:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-12 23:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.08%EV -9.88%E -3.49%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.57%EV -7.09%E -2.39%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-13 00:05
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-13 00:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -12.42%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-12 04:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-13 00:09
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-13 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -10.21%E -3.56%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-13 00:10
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -10.21%E -3.56%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-13 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.00%EV -11.51%E -4.80%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.10%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-12 04:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-08-13 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-08-13 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-08-13 00:25
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-13 00:25