La scuola delle quote

Cruzeiro v Flamengo-RJ

2026-08-13 00:30 UTC — Copa Libertadores

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34 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cruzeiro (Casa)

Previsione 35.74%2.80quota equa
EV -2.79%
Vantaggio -1.02%
Kelly -1.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.23%35.77%35.71%36.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.552.602.7243.48%39.15%38.46%36.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Flamengo-RJ (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.38%2.83quota equa
EV -2.71%
Vantaggio -0.985%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.96%35.26%35.42%36.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.592.602.7541.67%38.60%38.46%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.88%3.46quota equa
EV -1.81%
Vantaggio -0.531%
Kelly -0.752%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.78%28.97%28.88%30.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.183.203.4033.90%31.42%31.25%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.72I 36.76%NM 35.28%EV -2.79%E -1.02%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.55%EV -4.48%E -1.66%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.17%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 01:30
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.29%E -2.00%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -6.25%E -2.36%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -1.81%E -0.531%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 04:59
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.29%E -2.00%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.48%E -1.66%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -4.69%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 15:09
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.29%E -2.00%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.25%E -2.36%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.69%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 02:59
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.30%EV -5.65%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.57%EV -7.31%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:34
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.36%E -2.43%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.31%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 09:05
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.36%E -2.43%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.31%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 09:05
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.36%E -2.43%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -9.78%E -3.84%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.69%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-04 11:09
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -2.71%E -0.985%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 20:20
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:01
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 14:59
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 09:05
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.86%E -3.48%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.25%E -2.36%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 22:09
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.86%E -3.48%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-02 10:20
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.86%E -3.48%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-14 10:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.86%E -3.48%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.55%E -4.62%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 12:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.86%E -3.48%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.78%E -3.84%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 15:01
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.86%E -3.48%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.78%E -3.84%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 15:01
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.86%E -3.48%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.78%E -3.84%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-16 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.65%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.65%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 23:55
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.65%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 23:54
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.65%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 23:53
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.65%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.55%E -4.62%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-04 11:08
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.89%EV -16.01%E -6.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -11.55%E -4.62%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.43%EV -11.91%E -3.91%K -5.81%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-30 14:59
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.72%EV -16.01%E -6.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.52%EV -11.55%E -4.62%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.76%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-30 15:00
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 36.95%EV -16.72%E -7.18%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.16%EV -10.85%E -4.30%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.89%EV -13.94%E -4.68%K -7.04%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-30 15:00
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.52%EV -17.80%E -7.74%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.00%EV -15.09%E -6.29%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.48%EV -14.80%E -5.02%K -7.59%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-30 15:01
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.