语言:简体中文
Cruzeiro v Flamengo-RJ
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Cruzeiro (主队)
预测 31.85%3.14公平赔率
EV +0.951%
优势 +0.300%
Kelly +0.438%
增长率 +0.004%
假设最高赔率为 3.17
博彩公司预测分布
29.96%31.86%31.90%33.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.912.903.1737.04%34.33%34.48%31.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
Flamengo-RJ (客队)
预测 36.87%2.71公平赔率
EV -2.29%
优势 -0.866%
Kelly -1.39%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.65
博彩公司预测分布
35.75%36.87%36.92%38.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.522.502.6542.55%39.72%40.00%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.28%3.20公平赔率
EV -3.02%
优势 -0.974%
Kelly -1.44%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
29.82%31.28%31.18%32.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.932.943.1036.36%34.12%34.01%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cruzeiro (主队)：31.85%；Flamengo-RJ (客队)：36.87%；平局：31.28%。 对于“Cruzeiro (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.14。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.17，对应+0.951%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.96%EV +0.951%E +0.300%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -9.30%E -3.78%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.44%EV -5.52%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.88%EV +0.314%E +0.100%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.70%EV -2.29%E -0.866%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.42%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 23:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.88%EV +0.314%E +0.100%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.70%EV -2.29%E -0.866%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.42%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 23:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -1.92%E -0.622%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -1.92%E -0.622%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.90%EV -3.83%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.92%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -3.33%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 00:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%EV -3.03%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.21%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -8.65%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -8.65%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.92%EV -5.74%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.48%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.60%EV -6.46%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 09:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -5.74%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -7.40%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 04:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 04:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.02%E -0.974%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 21:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.28%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.28%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.02%E -0.974%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -13.36%E -5.68%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.08%EV -9.88%E -3.49%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.57%EV -7.09%E -2.39%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -12.42%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-12 04:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-13 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-13 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -10.21%E -3.56%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -10.21%E -3.56%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.00%EV -11.51%E -4.80%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.10%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 04:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 0.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |