Idioma:Español
Cruzeiro v Flamengo-RJ
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cruzeiro (Local)
Predicción 31.85%3.14momio equitativo
EV +0.951%
Ventaja +0.300%
Kelly +0.438%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.96%31.86%31.90%33.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.912.903.1737.04%34.33%34.48%31.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Flamengo-RJ (Visitante)
Predicción 36.87%2.71momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.866%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.75%36.87%36.92%38.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.522.502.6542.55%39.72%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.28%3.20momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -0.974%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.82%31.28%31.18%32.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.932.943.1036.36%34.12%34.01%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cruzeiro (Local): 31.85%; Flamengo-RJ (Visitante): 36.87%; Empate: 31.28%. Para Cruzeiro (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.14. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.17, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.951%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.96%EV +0.951%E +0.300%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -9.30%E -3.78%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.44%EV -5.52%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.88%EV +0.314%E +0.100%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.70%EV -2.29%E -0.866%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.42%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 23:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.88%EV +0.314%E +0.100%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.70%EV -2.29%E -0.866%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.42%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 23:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -1.92%E -0.622%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -1.92%E -0.622%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.90%EV -3.83%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.92%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -3.33%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 00:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%EV -3.03%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.21%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -8.65%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -8.65%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.92%EV -5.74%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.48%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.60%EV -6.46%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 09:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -5.74%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -7.40%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 04:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 04:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.02%E -0.974%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 21:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.28%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.28%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.02%E -0.974%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -13.36%E -5.68%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.08%EV -9.88%E -3.49%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.57%EV -7.09%E -2.39%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -12.42%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-12 04:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-13 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-13 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -10.21%E -3.56%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -10.21%E -3.56%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.00%EV -11.51%E -4.80%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.10%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 04:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 0.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |