Langue:Français
Cruzeiro v Flamengo-RJ
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cruzeiro (Local)
Prévision 31.85%3.14cote équitable
EV +0.951%
Avantage +0.300%
Kelly +0.438%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 3.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.96%31.86%31.90%33.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.912.903.1737.04%34.33%34.48%31.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Flamengo-RJ (Visiteur)
Prévision 36.87%2.71cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -0.866%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.75%36.87%36.92%38.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.522.502.6542.55%39.72%40.00%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 31.28%3.20cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -0.974%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.82%31.28%31.18%32.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.932.943.1036.36%34.12%34.01%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cruzeiro (Local) : 31.85% ; Flamengo-RJ (Visiteur) : 36.87% ; Match nul : 31.28%. Pour Cruzeiro (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.14. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.17, soit une espérance positive de +0.951%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.96%EV +0.951%E +0.300%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -9.30%E -3.78%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.44%EV -5.52%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.88%EV +0.314%E +0.100%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.70%EV -2.29%E -0.866%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.42%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 23:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.88%EV +0.314%E +0.100%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.70%EV -2.29%E -0.866%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.42%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 23:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -1.92%E -0.622%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -1.92%E -0.622%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.90%EV -3.83%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.92%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -3.33%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 00:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%EV -3.03%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.21%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -8.65%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -8.65%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.92%EV -5.74%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.48%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.60%EV -6.46%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 09:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -5.74%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -7.40%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 04:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 04:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.02%E -0.974%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 21:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.28%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.28%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.02%E -0.974%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -13.36%E -5.68%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.08%EV -9.88%E -3.49%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.57%EV -7.09%E -2.39%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -12.42%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-12 04:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-13 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-13 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -10.21%E -3.56%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -10.21%E -3.56%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.00%EV -11.51%E -4.80%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.10%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 04:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 0.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |