L’École des cotes

Cruzeiro v Flamengo-RJ

2026-08-13 00:30 UTC — Copa Libertadores

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cruzeiro (Local)

Prévision 35.74%2.80cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.23%35.77%35.71%36.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.552.602.7243.48%39.15%38.46%36.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Flamengo-RJ (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.38%2.83cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -0.985%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.96%35.26%35.42%36.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.592.602.7541.67%38.60%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.88%3.46cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -0.531%
Kelly -0.752%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.78%28.97%28.88%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.183.203.4033.90%31.42%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.72I 36.76%NM 35.28%EV -2.79%E -1.02%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.55%EV -4.48%E -1.66%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.17%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 01:30
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.29%E -2.00%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -6.25%E -2.36%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -1.81%E -0.531%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 04:59
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.29%E -2.00%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.48%E -1.66%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -4.69%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 15:09
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.29%E -2.00%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.25%E -2.36%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.69%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 02:59
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.30%EV -5.65%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.57%EV -7.31%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:34
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.36%E -2.43%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.31%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 17:23
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.36%E -2.43%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.31%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 17:25
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.36%E -2.43%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -9.78%E -3.84%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.69%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-04 11:09
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -2.71%E -0.985%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 20:20
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:01
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 14:59
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 15:00
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 17:25
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.86%E -3.48%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.25%E -2.36%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 22:09
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.86%E -3.48%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-02 10:20
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.86%E -3.48%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-14 10:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.86%E -3.48%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.55%E -4.62%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 12:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.86%E -3.48%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.78%E -3.84%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 15:01
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.86%E -3.48%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.78%E -3.84%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 15:01
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.86%E -3.48%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.78%E -3.84%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-16 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.65%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.65%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 15:05
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.65%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 15:05
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.65%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 23:53
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.65%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.55%E -4.62%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-04 11:08
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.89%EV -16.01%E -6.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -11.55%E -4.62%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.43%EV -11.91%E -3.91%K -5.81%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-30 14:59
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.72%EV -16.01%E -6.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.52%EV -11.55%E -4.62%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.76%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-30 15:00
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 36.95%EV -16.72%E -7.18%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.16%EV -10.85%E -4.30%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.89%EV -13.94%E -4.68%K -7.04%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-30 15:00
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.52%EV -17.80%E -7.74%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.00%EV -15.09%E -6.29%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.48%EV -14.80%E -5.02%K -7.59%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-30 15:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.