Язык:Русский
Cruzeiro v Flamengo-RJ
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Cruzeiro (Хозяева)
Прогноз 31.85%3.14справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.951%
Преимущество +0.300%
Kelly +0.438%
Рост +0.004%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.17
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.96%31.86%31.90%33.16%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.702.912.903.1737.04%34.33%34.48%31.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Flamengo-RJ (Гости)
Прогноз 36.87%2.71справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.29%
Преимущество -0.866%
Kelly -1.39%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.75%36.87%36.92%38.60%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.352.522.502.6542.55%39.72%40.00%37.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 31.28%3.20справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.02%
Преимущество -0.974%
Kelly -1.44%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.82%31.28%31.18%32.43%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.932.943.1036.36%34.12%34.01%32.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cruzeiro (Хозяева): 31.85%; Flamengo-RJ (Гости): 36.87%; Ничья: 31.28%. Для исхода «Cruzeiro (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.14. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.17, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.951%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.96%EV +0.951%E +0.300%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -9.30%E -3.78%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.44%EV -5.52%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.88%EV +0.314%E +0.100%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.70%EV -2.29%E -0.866%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.42%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 23:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.88%EV +0.314%E +0.100%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.70%EV -2.29%E -0.866%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.42%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 23:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -1.92%E -0.622%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -1.92%E -0.622%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.90%EV -3.83%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.92%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -3.33%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 00:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%EV -3.03%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.21%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -8.65%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -8.65%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.92%EV -5.74%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.48%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.60%EV -6.46%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 09:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -5.74%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -7.40%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 04:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 04:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.02%E -0.974%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 21:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.28%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.28%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.02%E -0.974%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -13.36%E -5.68%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.08%EV -9.88%E -3.49%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -10.41%E -4.28%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.57%EV -7.09%E -2.39%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -12.42%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-12 04:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-13 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-13 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -10.21%E -3.56%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -10.21%E -3.56%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.00%EV -11.51%E -4.80%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.10%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 04:45 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 0.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |