Language:English
Botafogo v Nacional Potosí
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Botafogo (Local)
Prediction 89.39%1.12fair odd
EV -5.24%
Edge -4.95%
Kelly -87.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.04%89.26%89.72%92.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.13%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nacional Potosí (Visit)
Prediction 3.18%31.45fair odd
EV +78.04%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +1.11%
assuming max odds 56.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.70%3.28%3.04%5.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
17.0032.1131.0056.005.88%3.11%3.23%1.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 7.43%13.46fair odd
EV +26.27%
Edge +1.55%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.431%
assuming max odds 17.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.58%7.46%7.25%9.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.8012.8813.0017.0011.36%7.76%7.69%5.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botafogo (Local): 89.39%; Nacional Potosí (Visit): 3.18%; Draw: 7.43%. For Nacional Potosí (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 31.45. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 56.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +78.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.36%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 56.00I 1.79%NM 1.70%EV +78.04%E +1.39%K +1.42%G +1.11% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +18.84%E +1.18%K +1.26%G +0.237% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 22:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.08%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.71%EV +74.86%E +1.36%K +1.39%G +1.04% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 00:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.08%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.71%EV +74.86%E +1.36%K +1.39%G +1.04% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 00:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.80%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.87%EV +62.15%E +1.22%K +1.24%G +0.772% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.33%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.84%EV +62.15%E +1.22%K +1.24%G +0.772% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.24%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +46.25%E +1.01%K +1.03%G +0.475% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.32%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.02%EV +46.25%E +1.01%K +1.03%G +0.475% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 22:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.30%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.37%EV +27.17%E +0.679%K +0.697%G +0.189% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 22:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.58%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.31%EV +27.17%E +0.679%K +0.697%G +0.189% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-25 23:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.59%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 34.17I 2.93%NM 2.76%EV +8.64%E +0.253%K +0.260%G +0.022% | 16.69I 5.99%NM 5.65%EV +23.97%E +1.44%K +1.53%G +0.366% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV +8.10%E +0.238%K +0.245%G +0.020% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.13%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.73%EV +8.10%E +0.238%K +0.245%G +0.020% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.08%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.08%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.72%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.72%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.75%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.02%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 22:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.35%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.00%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 22:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -4.62%E -0.154%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -4.62%E -0.154%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.15%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +26.27%E +1.55%K +1.64%G +0.431% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 00:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.56%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.36%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.20%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 17:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -26.88%E -1.17%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -26.88%E -1.17%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 00:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093% | 6.7% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.08%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.08%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.51%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.29%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -18.30%E -1.66%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 85.75%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 18.25I 5.48%NM 4.79%EV -41.98%E -2.30%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.46%EV -31.29%E -3.38%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-26 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 86.86%EV -9.71%E -9.62%K -971.31%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.16%EV -45.95%E -2.70%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.98%EV -18.30%E -1.66%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 85.04%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.10%EV -45.95%E -2.70%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.86%EV -34.64%E -3.94%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.97% | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.66% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.97% | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.66% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.36% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.10% | 69.93I 1.43%NM 1.41% | 17.99I 5.56%NM 5.49% | 1.3% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |