La scuola delle quote

Botafogo v Nacional Potosí

Inizio: 2026-02-26 00:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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41 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Botafogo (Casa)

Previsione 89.39%1.12quota equa
EV -5.24%
Vantaggio -4.95%
Kelly -87.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
85.04%89.26%89.72%92.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.13%96.15%94.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nacional Potosí (Trasferta)

Previsione 3.18%31.45quota equa
EV +78.04%
Vantaggio +1.39%
Kelly +1.42%
Crescita +1.11%

ipotizzando la quota massima 56.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
1.70%3.28%3.04%5.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
17.0032.1131.0056.005.88%3.11%3.23%1.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 7.43%13.46quota equa
EV +26.27%
Vantaggio +1.55%
Kelly +1.64%
Crescita +0.431%

ipotizzando la quota massima 17.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
5.58%7.46%7.25%9.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.8012.8813.0017.0011.36%7.76%7.69%5.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.36%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.70%EV +78.04%E +1.39%K +1.42%G +1.11%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +18.84%E +1.18%K +1.26%G +0.237%5.1%2026-02-25 22:35
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.08%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.71%EV +74.86%E +1.36%K +1.39%G +1.04%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 00:23
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 91.08%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.71%EV +74.86%E +1.36%K +1.39%G +1.04%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 00:24
PlayUp1.05I 95.24%NM 90.80%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.87%EV +62.15%E +1.22%K +1.24%G +0.772%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 00:05
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.33%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.84%EV +62.15%E +1.22%K +1.24%G +0.772%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.24%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +46.25%E +1.01%K +1.03%G +0.475%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%6.4%2026-02-25 22:39
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04%NM 91.32%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.02%EV +46.25%E +1.01%K +1.03%G +0.475%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%7.4%2026-02-25 22:35
Coolbet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.30%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.37%EV +27.17%E +0.679%K +0.697%G +0.189%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093%5.3%2026-02-25 22:35
PMU (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.58%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.31%EV +27.17%E +0.679%K +0.697%G +0.189%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 23:35
Pinnacle1.03I 97.09%NM 91.59%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%34.17I 2.93%NM 2.76%EV +8.64%E +0.253%K +0.260%G +0.022%16.69I 5.99%NM 5.65%EV +23.97%E +1.44%K +1.53%G +0.366%6.0%2026-02-26 00:15
Betway1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV +8.10%E +0.238%K +0.245%G +0.020%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.13%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.73%EV +8.10%E +0.238%K +0.245%G +0.020%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 22:20
Bovada1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.08%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%4.7%2026-02-26 00:14
BetUS1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.08%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%4.7%2026-02-26 00:15
Casumo1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:24
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:24
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Grosvenor1.05I 95.24%NM 89.72%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 23:50
BetRivers1.05I 95.24%NM 89.72%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 23:50
Suprabets1.03I 97.09%NM 90.75%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.02%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093%7.0%2026-02-25 22:29
Betr (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.35%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.00%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%7.5%2026-02-25 22:34
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -4.62%E -0.154%K -0.159%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 00:25
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -4.62%E -0.154%K -0.159%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 00:25
1xBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.15%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +26.27%E +1.55%K +1.64%G +0.431%5.5%2026-02-26 00:19
Everygame1.03I 97.09%NM 90.56%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093%7.2%2026-02-25 22:04
Marathon Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.36%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.20%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 00:25
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:49
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:49
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -26.88%E -1.17%K -1.22%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 00:15
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -26.88%E -1.17%K -1.22%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 00:14
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093%6.7%2026-02-25 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.08%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 00:15
Neds1.06I 94.34%NM 88.08%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 00:15
Codere (IT)1.03I 97.09%NM 87.51%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.29%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -18.30%E -1.66%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-25 22:20
Betclic (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 85.75%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%18.25I 5.48%NM 4.79%EV -41.98%E -2.30%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.46%EV -31.29%E -3.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-26 00:04
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 86.86%EV -9.71%E -9.62%K -971.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.16%EV -45.95%E -2.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.98%EV -18.30%E -1.66%K -1.83%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-25 22:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 85.04%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.10%EV -45.95%E -2.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.86%EV -34.64%E -3.94%K -4.44%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-26 00:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.97%60.00I 1.67%NM 1.66%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38%0.5%2026-02-26 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.97%60.00I 1.67%NM 1.66%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38%0.5%2026-02-26 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.36%0.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 93.10%69.93I 1.43%NM 1.41%17.99I 5.56%NM 5.49%1.3%2026-02-26 00:25