Langue:Français
Botafogo v Nacional Potosí
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Botafogo (Local)
Prévision 89.39%1.12cote équitable
EV -5.24%
Avantage -4.95%
Kelly -87.39%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.04%89.26%89.72%92.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.13%96.15%94.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Nacional Potosí (Visiteur)
Prévision 3.18%31.45cote équitable
EV +78.04%
Avantage +1.39%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +1.11%
avec la cote maximale 56.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
1.70%3.28%3.04%5.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
17.0032.1131.0056.005.88%3.11%3.23%1.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 7.43%13.46cote équitable
EV +26.27%
Avantage +1.55%
Kelly +1.64%
Croissance +0.431%
avec la cote maximale 17.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.58%7.46%7.25%9.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.8012.8813.0017.0011.36%7.76%7.69%5.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Botafogo (Local) : 89.39% ; Nacional Potosí (Visiteur) : 3.18% ; Match nul : 7.43%. Pour Nacional Potosí (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 31.45. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 56.00, soit une espérance positive de +78.04%.
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.36%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 56.00I 1.79%NM 1.70%EV +78.04%E +1.39%K +1.42%G +1.11% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +18.84%E +1.18%K +1.26%G +0.237% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 22:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.08%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.71%EV +74.86%E +1.36%K +1.39%G +1.04% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 00:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.08%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.71%EV +74.86%E +1.36%K +1.39%G +1.04% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 00:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.80%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.87%EV +62.15%E +1.22%K +1.24%G +0.772% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.33%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.84%EV +62.15%E +1.22%K +1.24%G +0.772% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.24%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +46.25%E +1.01%K +1.03%G +0.475% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.32%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.02%EV +46.25%E +1.01%K +1.03%G +0.475% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 22:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.30%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.37%EV +27.17%E +0.679%K +0.697%G +0.189% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 22:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.58%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.31%EV +27.17%E +0.679%K +0.697%G +0.189% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-25 23:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.59%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 34.17I 2.93%NM 2.76%EV +8.64%E +0.253%K +0.260%G +0.022% | 16.69I 5.99%NM 5.65%EV +23.97%E +1.44%K +1.53%G +0.366% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV +8.10%E +0.238%K +0.245%G +0.020% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.13%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.73%EV +8.10%E +0.238%K +0.245%G +0.020% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.08%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.08%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.72%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.72%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.75%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.02%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 22:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.35%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.00%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 22:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -4.62%E -0.154%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -4.62%E -0.154%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.15%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +26.27%E +1.55%K +1.64%G +0.431% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 00:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.56%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.36%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.20%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 17:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -26.88%E -1.17%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -26.88%E -1.17%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 00:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093% | 6.7% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.08%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.08%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.51%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.29%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -18.30%E -1.66%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 85.75%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 18.25I 5.48%NM 4.79%EV -41.98%E -2.30%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.46%EV -31.29%E -3.38%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-26 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 86.86%EV -9.71%E -9.62%K -971.31%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.16%EV -45.95%E -2.70%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.98%EV -18.30%E -1.66%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 85.04%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.10%EV -45.95%E -2.70%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.86%EV -34.64%E -3.94%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.97% | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.66% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.97% | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.66% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.36% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.10% | 69.93I 1.43%NM 1.41% | 17.99I 5.56%NM 5.49% | 1.3% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |