مدرسة الاحتمالات

Botafogo v Nacional Potosí

البداية: 2026-02-26 00:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

41 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Botafogo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 89.39%1.12السعر العادل
EV -5.24%
الأفضلية -4.95%
Kelly -87.39%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
85.04%89.26%89.72%92.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.13%96.15%94.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Nacional Potosí (الضيف)

التنبؤ 3.18%31.45السعر العادل
EV +78.04%
الأفضلية +1.39%
Kelly +1.42%
النمو +1.11%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 56.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
1.70%3.28%3.04%5.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
17.0032.1131.0056.005.88%3.11%3.23%1.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 7.43%13.46السعر العادل
EV +26.27%
الأفضلية +1.55%
Kelly +1.64%
النمو +0.431%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 17.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
5.58%7.46%7.25%9.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.8012.8813.0017.0011.36%7.76%7.69%5.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (41 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.36%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.70%EV +78.04%E +1.39%K +1.42%G +1.11%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +18.84%E +1.18%K +1.26%G +0.237%5.1%2026-02-25 22:35
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.08%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.71%EV +74.86%E +1.36%K +1.39%G +1.04%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 00:23
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 91.08%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.71%EV +74.86%E +1.36%K +1.39%G +1.04%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 00:24
PlayUp1.05I 95.24%NM 90.80%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.87%EV +62.15%E +1.22%K +1.24%G +0.772%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 00:05
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.33%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.84%EV +62.15%E +1.22%K +1.24%G +0.772%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.24%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +46.25%E +1.01%K +1.03%G +0.475%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%6.4%2026-02-25 22:39
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04%NM 91.32%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.02%EV +46.25%E +1.01%K +1.03%G +0.475%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%7.4%2026-02-25 22:35
Coolbet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.30%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.37%EV +27.17%E +0.679%K +0.697%G +0.189%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093%5.3%2026-02-25 22:35
PMU (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.58%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.31%EV +27.17%E +0.679%K +0.697%G +0.189%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 23:35
Pinnacle1.03I 97.09%NM 91.59%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%34.17I 2.93%NM 2.76%EV +8.64%E +0.253%K +0.260%G +0.022%16.69I 5.99%NM 5.65%EV +23.97%E +1.44%K +1.53%G +0.366%6.0%2026-02-26 00:15
Betway1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV +8.10%E +0.238%K +0.245%G +0.020%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.13%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.73%EV +8.10%E +0.238%K +0.245%G +0.020%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 22:20
Bovada1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.08%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%4.7%2026-02-26 00:14
BetUS1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.08%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%4.7%2026-02-26 00:15
Casumo1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:24
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:24
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Grosvenor1.05I 95.24%NM 89.72%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 23:50
BetRivers1.05I 95.24%NM 89.72%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 23:50
Suprabets1.03I 97.09%NM 90.75%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.02%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093%7.0%2026-02-25 22:29
Betr (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.35%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.00%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%7.5%2026-02-25 22:34
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -4.62%E -0.154%K -0.159%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 00:25
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -4.62%E -0.154%K -0.159%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 00:25
1xBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.15%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +26.27%E +1.55%K +1.64%G +0.431%5.5%2026-02-26 00:19
Everygame1.03I 97.09%NM 90.56%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093%7.2%2026-02-25 22:04
Marathon Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.36%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.20%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 00:25
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:49
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:49
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -26.88%E -1.17%K -1.22%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 00:15
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -26.88%E -1.17%K -1.22%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 00:14
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093%6.7%2026-02-25 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.08%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 00:15
Neds1.06I 94.34%NM 88.08%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 00:15
Codere (IT)1.03I 97.09%NM 87.51%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.29%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -18.30%E -1.66%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-25 22:20
Betclic (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 85.75%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%18.25I 5.48%NM 4.79%EV -41.98%E -2.30%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.46%EV -31.29%E -3.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-26 00:04
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 86.86%EV -9.71%E -9.62%K -971.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.16%EV -45.95%E -2.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.98%EV -18.30%E -1.66%K -1.83%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-25 22:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 85.04%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.10%EV -45.95%E -2.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.86%EV -34.64%E -3.94%K -4.44%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-26 00:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.97%60.00I 1.67%NM 1.66%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38%0.5%2026-02-26 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.97%60.00I 1.67%NM 1.66%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38%0.5%2026-02-26 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.36%0.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 93.10%69.93I 1.43%NM 1.41%17.99I 5.56%NM 5.49%1.3%2026-02-26 00:25