La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Botafogo v Nacional Potosí
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Botafogo (Local)
Predicción 89.39%1.12momio equitativo
EV -5.24%
Ventaja -4.95%
Kelly -87.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.04%89.26%89.72%92.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.13%96.15%94.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nacional Potosí (Visitante)
Predicción 3.18%31.45momio equitativo
EV +78.04%
Ventaja +1.39%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +1.11%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 56.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
1.70%3.28%3.04%5.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
17.0032.1131.0056.005.88%3.11%3.23%1.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 7.43%13.46momio equitativo
EV +26.27%
Ventaja +1.55%
Kelly +1.64%
Crecimiento +0.431%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 17.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
5.58%7.46%7.25%9.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.8012.8813.0017.0011.36%7.76%7.69%5.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.36%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 56.00I 1.79%NM 1.70%EV +78.04%E +1.39%K +1.42%G +1.11% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +18.84%E +1.18%K +1.26%G +0.237% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 22:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.08%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.71%EV +74.86%E +1.36%K +1.39%G +1.04% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 00:23 |
| Betsson | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.08%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.71%EV +74.86%E +1.36%K +1.39%G +1.04% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 00:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.80%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.87%EV +62.15%E +1.22%K +1.24%G +0.772% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.33%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.84%EV +62.15%E +1.22%K +1.24%G +0.772% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.24%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +46.25%E +1.01%K +1.03%G +0.475% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 22:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.32%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.02%EV +46.25%E +1.01%K +1.03%G +0.475% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 22:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.30%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.37%EV +27.17%E +0.679%K +0.697%G +0.189% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 22:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.58%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.31%EV +27.17%E +0.679%K +0.697%G +0.189% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-25 23:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.59%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 34.17I 2.93%NM 2.76%EV +8.64%E +0.253%K +0.260%G +0.022% | 16.69I 5.99%NM 5.65%EV +23.97%E +1.44%K +1.53%G +0.366% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Betway | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV +8.10%E +0.238%K +0.245%G +0.020% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.13%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.73%EV +8.10%E +0.238%K +0.245%G +0.020% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Bovada | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.08%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:14 |
| BetUS | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.08%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Casumo | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Unibet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.72%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.72%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |
| Suprabets | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.75%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.02%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 22:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.35%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.00%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 22:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -4.62%E -0.154%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -4.62%E -0.154%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.15%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +26.27%E +1.55%K +1.64%G +0.431% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 00:19 |
| Everygame | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.56%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.36%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.20%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| 888sport | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 17:49 |
| William Hill | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -26.88%E -1.17%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Coral | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -26.88%E -1.17%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 00:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093% | 6.7% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.08%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Neds | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.08%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.51%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.29%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -18.30%E -1.66%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 85.75%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 18.25I 5.48%NM 4.79%EV -41.98%E -2.30%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.46%EV -31.29%E -3.38%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-26 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 86.86%EV -9.71%E -9.62%K -971.31%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.16%EV -45.95%E -2.70%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.98%EV -18.30%E -1.66%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 85.04%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.10%EV -45.95%E -2.70%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.86%EV -34.64%E -3.94%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.97% | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.66% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.97% | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.66% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.36% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.10% | 69.93I 1.43%NM 1.41% | 17.99I 5.56%NM 5.49% | 1.3% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |