StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Botafogo v Nacional Potosí

Spielbeginn: 2026-02-26 00:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

41 Wettanbieter (13 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Botafogo (Heim)

Prognose 89.39%1.12faire Quote
EV -5.24%
Vorteil -4.95%
Kelly -87.39%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.06

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
85.04%89.26%89.72%92.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.13%96.15%94.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Nacional Potosí (Auswärts)

Prognose 3.18%31.45faire Quote
EV +78.04%
Vorteil +1.39%
Kelly +1.42%
Wachstum +1.11%

bei einer Höchstquote von 56.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
1.70%3.28%3.04%5.16%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
17.0032.1131.0056.005.88%3.11%3.23%1.79%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 7.43%13.46faire Quote
EV +26.27%
Vorteil +1.55%
Kelly +1.64%
Wachstum +0.431%

bei einer Höchstquote von 17.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
5.58%7.46%7.25%9.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
8.8012.8813.0017.0011.36%7.76%7.69%5.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Botafogo (Heim): 89.39%; Nacional Potosí (Auswärts): 3.18%; Unentschieden: 7.43%. Für Nacional Potosí (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 31.45. 12 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 56.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +78.04%.

Wettanbieterquoten (41 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.36%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.70%EV +78.04%E +1.39%K +1.42%G +1.11%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +18.84%E +1.18%K +1.26%G +0.237%5.1%2026-02-25 22:35
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.08%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.71%EV +74.86%E +1.36%K +1.39%G +1.04%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 00:23
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.08%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.71%EV +74.86%E +1.36%K +1.39%G +1.04%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 00:24
PlayUp🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.80%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.87%EV +62.15%E +1.22%K +1.24%G +0.772%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.33%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.84%EV +62.15%E +1.22%K +1.24%G +0.772%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.24%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +46.25%E +1.01%K +1.03%G +0.475%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%6.4%2026-02-25 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.32%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.02%EV +46.25%E +1.01%K +1.03%G +0.475%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%7.4%2026-02-25 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.30%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.37%EV +27.17%E +0.679%K +0.697%G +0.189%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093%5.3%2026-02-25 22:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.58%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.31%EV +27.17%E +0.679%K +0.697%G +0.189%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 23:35
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.59%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%34.17I 2.93%NM 2.76%EV +8.64%E +0.253%K +0.260%G +0.022%16.69I 5.99%NM 5.65%EV +23.97%E +1.44%K +1.53%G +0.366%6.0%2026-02-26 00:15
Betway🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV +8.10%E +0.238%K +0.245%G +0.020%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.13%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.73%EV +8.10%E +0.238%K +0.245%G +0.020%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 22:20
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.08%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%4.7%2026-02-26 00:14
BetUS🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.08%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%4.7%2026-02-26 00:15
Casumo🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Unibet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.72%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 23:50
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.72%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 23:50
Suprabets🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.75%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.02%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093%7.0%2026-02-25 22:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.35%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.00%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%7.5%2026-02-25 22:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -4.62%E -0.154%K -0.159%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -4.62%E -0.154%K -0.159%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 00:25
1xBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.15%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +26.27%E +1.55%K +1.64%G +0.431%5.5%2026-02-26 00:19
Everygame🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.56%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093%7.2%2026-02-25 22:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.36%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.20%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 00:25
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:49
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -26.88%E -1.17%K -1.22%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 00:15
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -26.88%E -1.17%K -1.22%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 00:14
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093%6.7%2026-02-25 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.08%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 00:15
Neds🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.08%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 00:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.51%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.29%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -18.30%E -1.66%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-25 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 85.75%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%18.25I 5.48%NM 4.79%EV -41.98%E -2.30%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.46%EV -31.29%E -3.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-26 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 86.86%EV -9.71%E -9.62%K -971.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.16%EV -45.95%E -2.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.98%EV -18.30%E -1.66%K -1.83%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-25 22:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 85.04%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.10%EV -45.95%E -2.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.86%EV -34.64%E -3.94%K -4.44%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-26 00:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.97%60.00I 1.67%NM 1.66%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38%0.5%2026-02-26 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.97%60.00I 1.67%NM 1.66%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38%0.5%2026-02-26 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.36%0.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 93.10%69.93I 1.43%NM 1.41%17.99I 5.56%NM 5.49%1.3%2026-02-26 00:25