Die Schule der Quoten

Botafogo v Nacional Potosí

Spielbeginn: 2026-02-26 00:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

41 Wettanbieter (13 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Botafogo (Heim)

Prognose 89.39%1.12faire Quote
EV -5.24%
Vorteil -4.95%
Kelly -87.39%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.06

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
85.04%89.26%89.72%92.36%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.13%96.15%94.34%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Nacional Potosí (Auswärts)

Prognose 3.18%31.45faire Quote
EV +78.04%
Vorteil +1.39%
Kelly +1.42%
Wachstum +1.11%

bei einer Höchstquote von 56.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
1.70%3.28%3.04%5.16%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
17.0032.1131.0056.005.88%3.11%3.23%1.79%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 7.43%13.46faire Quote
EV +26.27%
Vorteil +1.55%
Kelly +1.64%
Wachstum +0.431%

bei einer Höchstquote von 17.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
5.58%7.46%7.25%9.86%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
8.8012.8813.0017.0011.36%7.76%7.69%5.88%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (41 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
SportsBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.36%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.70%EV +78.04%E +1.39%K +1.42%G +1.11%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +18.84%E +1.18%K +1.26%G +0.237%5.1%2026-02-25 22:35
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.08%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.71%EV +74.86%E +1.36%K +1.39%G +1.04%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 00:23
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 91.08%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.71%EV +74.86%E +1.36%K +1.39%G +1.04%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 00:24
PlayUp1.05I 95.24%NM 90.80%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.87%EV +62.15%E +1.22%K +1.24%G +0.772%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 00:05
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.33%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.84%EV +62.15%E +1.22%K +1.24%G +0.772%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.24%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +46.25%E +1.01%K +1.03%G +0.475%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%6.4%2026-02-25 22:39
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04%NM 91.32%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.02%EV +46.25%E +1.01%K +1.03%G +0.475%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%7.4%2026-02-25 22:35
Coolbet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.30%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.37%EV +27.17%E +0.679%K +0.697%G +0.189%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093%5.3%2026-02-25 22:35
PMU (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.58%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.31%EV +27.17%E +0.679%K +0.697%G +0.189%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 23:35
Pinnacle1.03I 97.09%NM 91.59%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%34.17I 2.93%NM 2.76%EV +8.64%E +0.253%K +0.260%G +0.022%16.69I 5.99%NM 5.65%EV +23.97%E +1.44%K +1.53%G +0.366%6.0%2026-02-26 00:15
Betway1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV +8.10%E +0.238%K +0.245%G +0.020%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.13%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.73%EV +8.10%E +0.238%K +0.245%G +0.020%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 22:20
Bovada1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.08%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%4.7%2026-02-26 00:14
BetUS1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.08%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%4.7%2026-02-26 00:15
Casumo1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:24
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:24
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.63%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Grosvenor1.05I 95.24%NM 89.72%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 23:50
BetRivers1.05I 95.24%NM 89.72%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 23:50
Suprabets1.03I 97.09%NM 90.75%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.02%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093%7.0%2026-02-25 22:29
Betr (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.35%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.00%EV -1.44%E -0.046%K -0.048%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +3.99%E +0.285%K +0.307%G +0.012%7.5%2026-02-25 22:34
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -4.62%E -0.154%K -0.159%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 00:25
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -4.62%E -0.154%K -0.159%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -10.87%E -0.906%K -0.988%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 00:25
1xBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.15%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +26.27%E +1.55%K +1.64%G +0.431%5.5%2026-02-26 00:19
Everygame1.03I 97.09%NM 90.56%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093%7.2%2026-02-25 22:04
Marathon Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.36%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.20%EV -7.80%E -0.269%K -0.279%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 00:25
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:49
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:49
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 87.41%EV -7.03%E -6.76%K -175.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV -17.34%E -0.667%K -0.693%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -25.72%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -26.88%E -1.17%K -1.22%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 00:15
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -26.88%E -1.17%K -1.22%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.44%E -0.265%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 00:14
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.14%E -5.85%K -122.75%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +11.42%E +0.761%K +0.815%G +0.093%6.7%2026-02-25 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.08%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 00:15
Neds1.06I 94.34%NM 88.08%EV -5.24%E -4.95%K -87.39%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -7.15%E -0.572%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 00:15
Codere (IT)1.03I 97.09%NM 87.51%EV -7.93%E -7.69%K -264.17%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.29%EV -33.23%E -1.58%K -1.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -18.30%E -1.66%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-25 22:20
Betclic (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 85.75%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%18.25I 5.48%NM 4.79%EV -41.98%E -2.30%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.46%EV -31.29%E -3.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-26 00:04
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 86.86%EV -9.71%E -9.62%K -971.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.16%EV -45.95%E -2.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.98%EV -18.30%E -1.66%K -1.83%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-25 22:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 85.04%EV -8.82%E -8.65%K -440.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.10%EV -45.95%E -2.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.86%EV -34.64%E -3.94%K -4.44%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-26 00:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.97%60.00I 1.67%NM 1.66%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38%0.5%2026-02-26 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.97%60.00I 1.67%NM 1.66%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38%0.5%2026-02-26 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.36%0.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 93.10%69.93I 1.43%NM 1.41%17.99I 5.56%NM 5.49%1.3%2026-02-26 00:25