Language:English
Boca Juniors v Cruzeiro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boca Juniors (Local)
Prediction 47.81%2.09fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -4.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.62%47.82%47.65%49.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.922.0054.64%51.77%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cruzeiro (Visit)
Prediction 21.98%4.55fair odd
EV +2.41%
Edge +0.517%
Kelly +0.659%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 4.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.63%21.97%22.10%23.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.264.334.6626.32%23.45%23.09%21.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.21%3.31fair odd
EV -0.298%
Edge -0.090%
Kelly -0.130%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.39%30.21%30.25%31.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.063.103.3036.36%32.66%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boca Juniors (Local): 47.81%; Cruzeiro (Visit): 21.98%; Draw: 30.21%. For Cruzeiro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.55. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.63%EV +2.41%E +0.517%K +0.659%G +0.016% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -4.23%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%EV +1.09%E +0.237%K +0.303%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%EV -0.298%E -0.090%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%EV +1.09%E +0.237%K +0.303%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%EV -0.298%E -0.090%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.50%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.20%EV -0.446%E -0.099%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.30%EV -4.23%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.86%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -1.11%E -0.246%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-19 22:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.93%EV -2.20%E -0.495%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.93%EV -2.20%E -0.495%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.86%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.39%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 20:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -7.25%E -3.74%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.37%EV -3.52%E -0.803%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.17%EV -6.64%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 21:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 02:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 02:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.98%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.04%EV -6.94%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -10.59%E -5.67%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -9.90%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -7.25%E -3.74%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.90%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 16:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-19 21:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.63%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.59%EV -10.59%E -5.67%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -10.87%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.10%EV -12.51%E -6.83%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.35%EV -16.92%E -6.15%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.17%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -16.49%E -4.34%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.74%EV -10.87%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.42% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61% | 2.1% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |