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Boca Juniors v Cruzeiro
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Boca Juniors (Casa)
Previsione 47.81%2.09quota equa
EV -4.38%
Vantaggio -2.19%
Kelly -4.38%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.62%47.82%47.65%49.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.931.922.0054.64%51.77%52.08%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Cruzeiro (Trasferta)
Previsione 21.98%4.55quota equa
EV +2.41%
Vantaggio +0.517%
Kelly +0.659%
Crescita +0.016%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.66
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.63%21.97%22.10%23.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.264.334.6626.32%23.45%23.09%21.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 30.21%3.31quota equa
EV -0.298%
Vantaggio -0.090%
Kelly -0.130%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.39%30.21%30.25%31.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.063.103.3036.36%32.66%32.26%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.63%EV +2.41%E +0.517%K +0.659%G +0.016% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -4.23%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%EV +1.09%E +0.237%K +0.303%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%EV -0.298%E -0.090%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%EV +1.09%E +0.237%K +0.303%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%EV -0.298%E -0.090%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.50%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.20%EV -0.446%E -0.099%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.30%EV -4.23%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.86%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -1.11%E -0.246%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-19 22:38 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.93%EV -2.20%E -0.495%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.93%EV -2.20%E -0.495%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.86%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.39%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 20:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| GTbets | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -7.25%E -3.74%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.37%EV -3.52%E -0.803%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Suprabets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.17%EV -6.64%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 21:39 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 02:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 02:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.98%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.04%EV -6.94%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -10.59%E -5.67%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -9.90%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -7.25%E -3.74%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.90%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 16:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-19 21:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.63%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.59%EV -10.59%E -5.67%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -10.87%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.10%EV -12.51%E -6.83%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.35%EV -16.92%E -6.15%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.17%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -16.49%E -4.34%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.74%EV -10.87%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.42% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61% | 2.1% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |