L’École des cotesFrançais
Boca Juniors v Cruzeiro
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Boca Juniors (Local)
Prévision 47.81%2.09cote équitable
EV -4.38%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -4.38%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.62%47.82%47.65%49.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.931.922.0054.64%51.77%52.08%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cruzeiro (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.98%4.55cote équitable
EV +2.41%
Avantage +0.517%
Kelly +0.659%
Croissance +0.016%
avec la cote maximale 4.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.63%21.97%22.10%23.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.264.334.6626.32%23.45%23.09%21.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.21%3.31cote équitable
EV -0.298%
Avantage -0.090%
Kelly -0.130%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.39%30.21%30.25%31.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.063.103.3036.36%32.66%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.63%EV +2.41%E +0.517%K +0.659%G +0.016% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -4.23%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%EV +1.09%E +0.237%K +0.303%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%EV -0.298%E -0.090%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%EV +1.09%E +0.237%K +0.303%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%EV -0.298%E -0.090%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.50%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.20%EV -0.446%E -0.099%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.30%EV -4.23%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.86%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -1.11%E -0.246%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-19 22:38 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.93%EV -2.20%E -0.495%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.93%EV -2.20%E -0.495%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.86%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.39%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 20:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| GTbets | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -7.25%E -3.74%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.37%EV -3.52%E -0.803%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Suprabets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.17%EV -6.64%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 21:39 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 02:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 02:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.98%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.04%EV -6.94%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -10.59%E -5.67%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -9.90%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -7.25%E -3.74%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.90%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 16:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-19 21:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.63%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.59%EV -10.59%E -5.67%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -10.87%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.10%EV -12.51%E -6.83%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.35%EV -16.92%E -6.15%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.17%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -16.49%E -4.34%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.74%EV -10.87%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.42% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61% | 2.1% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |