La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Boca Juniors v Cruzeiro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boca Juniors (Local)
Predicción 47.81%2.09momio equitativo
EV -4.38%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -4.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.62%47.82%47.65%49.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.931.922.0054.64%51.77%52.08%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cruzeiro (Visitante)
Predicción 21.98%4.55momio equitativo
EV +2.41%
Ventaja +0.517%
Kelly +0.659%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.63%21.97%22.10%23.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.264.334.6626.32%23.45%23.09%21.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.21%3.31momio equitativo
EV -0.298%
Ventaja -0.090%
Kelly -0.130%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.39%30.21%30.25%31.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.063.103.3036.36%32.66%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.63%EV +2.41%E +0.517%K +0.659%G +0.016% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -4.23%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%EV +1.09%E +0.237%K +0.303%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%EV -0.298%E -0.090%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%EV +1.09%E +0.237%K +0.303%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%EV -0.298%E -0.090%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.50%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.20%EV -0.446%E -0.099%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.30%EV -4.23%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.86%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -1.11%E -0.246%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-19 22:38 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.93%EV -2.20%E -0.495%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.93%EV -2.20%E -0.495%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.86%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.39%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 20:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| GTbets | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -7.25%E -3.74%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.37%EV -3.52%E -0.803%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Suprabets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.17%EV -6.64%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 21:39 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 02:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 02:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.98%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.04%EV -6.94%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -10.59%E -5.67%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -9.90%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -7.25%E -3.74%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.90%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 16:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-19 21:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.63%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.59%EV -10.59%E -5.67%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -10.87%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.10%EV -12.51%E -6.83%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.35%EV -16.92%E -6.15%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.17%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -16.49%E -4.34%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.74%EV -10.87%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.42% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61% | 2.1% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |