مدرسة الاحتمالات

Boca Juniors v Cruzeiro

البداية: 2026-05-20 00:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Boca Juniors 1–1 Cruzeiro

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Boca Juniors (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.81%2.09السعر العادل
EV -4.38%
الأفضلية -2.19%
Kelly -4.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.62%47.82%47.65%49.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.831.931.922.0054.64%51.77%52.08%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cruzeiro (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.98%4.55السعر العادل
EV +2.41%
الأفضلية +0.517%
Kelly +0.659%
النمو +0.016%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.63%21.97%22.10%23.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.264.334.6626.32%23.45%23.09%21.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.21%3.31السعر العادل
EV -0.298%
الأفضلية -0.090%
Kelly -0.130%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.39%30.21%30.25%31.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.063.103.3036.36%32.66%32.26%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.63%EV +2.41%E +0.517%K +0.659%G +0.016%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -4.23%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 22:39
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%EV +1.09%E +0.237%K +0.303%G +0.003%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%EV -0.298%E -0.090%K -0.130%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 22:59
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%EV +1.09%E +0.237%K +0.303%G +0.003%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%EV -0.298%E -0.090%K -0.130%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 22:59
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.50%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.20%EV -0.446%E -0.099%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.30%EV -4.23%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 22:39
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.86%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -1.11%E -0.246%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 22:38
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.93%EV -2.20%E -0.495%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.93%EV -2.20%E -0.495%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 22:39
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.86%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.39%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 22:39
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 22:59
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 20:29
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 22:59
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 22:59
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 22:59
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 22:39
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 21:50
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -7.25%E -3.74%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.37%EV -3.52%E -0.803%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 22:59
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 22:39
Suprabets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.17%EV -6.64%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 21:39
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 21:40
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 22:39
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 22:39
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 22:59
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 21:50
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 02:09
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 02:10
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-19 22:59
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-19 22:59
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.98%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 21:50
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.04%EV -6.94%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 21:49
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -10.59%E -5.67%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-19 21:50
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -9.90%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 21:50
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -7.25%E -3.74%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.90%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 22:39
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 16:19
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 21:29
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.63%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 21:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-19 21:40
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-19 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-19 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.59%EV -10.59%E -5.67%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -10.87%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-19 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.10%EV -12.51%E -6.83%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.35%EV -16.92%E -6.15%K -9.67%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-19 21:50
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.17%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -16.49%E -4.34%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.74%EV -10.87%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-19 21:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-19 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-19 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.42%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-05-19 22:59
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61%2.1%2026-05-19 22:39