A Escola das Odds

Boca Juniors v Cruzeiro

Início: 2026-05-20 00:30 UTC

Final: Boca Juniors 1–1 Cruzeiro

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Boca Juniors (Local)

Previsão 47.81%2.09odd justa
EV -4.38%
Vantagem -2.19%
Kelly -4.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.62%47.82%47.65%49.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.931.922.0054.64%51.77%52.08%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cruzeiro (Visitante)

Previsão 21.98%4.55odd justa
EV +2.41%
Vantagem +0.517%
Kelly +0.659%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.63%21.97%22.10%23.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.804.264.334.6626.32%23.45%23.09%21.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.21%3.31odd justa
EV -0.298%
Vantagem -0.090%
Kelly -0.130%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.39%30.21%30.25%31.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.063.103.3036.36%32.66%32.26%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.63%EV +2.41%E +0.517%K +0.659%G +0.016%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -4.23%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 22:39
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%EV +1.09%E +0.237%K +0.303%G +0.003%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%EV -0.298%E -0.090%K -0.130%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 22:59
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%EV +1.09%E +0.237%K +0.303%G +0.003%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%EV -0.298%E -0.090%K -0.130%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 22:59
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.50%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.20%EV -0.446%E -0.099%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.30%EV -4.23%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 22:39
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.86%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -1.11%E -0.246%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 22:38
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.93%EV -2.20%E -0.495%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.93%EV -2.20%E -0.495%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 22:39
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.86%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.39%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 22:39
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 22:59
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 20:29
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 22:59
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 22:59
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 22:59
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 22:39
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -3.30%E -0.751%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 21:50
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -7.25%E -3.74%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.37%EV -3.52%E -0.803%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 22:59
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 22:39
Suprabets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.17%EV -6.64%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 21:39
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 21:40
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 22:39
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 22:39
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 22:59
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 21:50
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 02:09
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 02:10
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-19 22:59
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-19 22:59
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.98%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 21:50
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.04%EV -6.94%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 21:49
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -10.59%E -5.67%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-19 21:50
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -9.90%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 21:50
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -7.25%E -3.74%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.90%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 22:39
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 16:19
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 21:29
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.63%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 21:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-19 21:40
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-19 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-19 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.59%EV -10.59%E -5.67%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -10.87%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-19 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.10%EV -12.51%E -6.83%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.35%EV -16.92%E -6.15%K -9.67%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-19 21:50
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.17%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -16.49%E -4.34%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.74%EV -10.87%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-19 21:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-19 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-19 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.42%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-05-19 22:59
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61%2.1%2026-05-19 22:39