语言:简体中文
Toluca v Seattle Sounders FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Toluca (主队)
预测 74.50%1.34公平赔率
EV -2.41%
优势 -1.84%
Kelly -7.76%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.31
博彩公司预测分布
71.11%74.52%74.42%76.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.161.241.241.3186.21%80.40%80.65%76.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
Seattle Sounders FC (客队)
预测 10.37%9.64公平赔率
EV +24.00%
优势 +2.01%
Kelly +2.19%
增长率 +0.526%
假设最高赔率为 11.96
博彩公司预测分布
7.89%10.26%10.42%11.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.009.259.5011.9612.50%10.81%10.53%8.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 15.13%6.61公平赔率
EV +5.93%
优势 +0.847%
Kelly +0.988%
增长率 +0.059%
假设最高赔率为 7.00
博彩公司预测分布
13.70%15.22%15.16%17.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.006.126.257.0020.00%16.33%16.00%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Toluca (主队)：74.50%；Seattle Sounders FC (客队)：10.37%；平局：15.13%。 对于“Seattle Sounders FC (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.64。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为11.96，对应+24.00%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.68%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 11.96I 8.36%NM 7.89%EV +24.00%E +2.01%K +2.19%G +0.526% | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.44%EV -7.54%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +14.05%E +1.28%K +1.40%G +0.197% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.71%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV +5.93%E +0.847%K +0.988%G +0.059% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 02:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.18%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -5.42%E -0.867%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 01:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -20.55%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-06 02:07 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-06 02:07 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.82%EV +0.052%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 6.08I 16.45%NM 15.58%EV -7.99%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.95%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 02:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.22%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 02:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.22%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 02:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.66%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.54%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.75%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.91%EV -2.54%E -0.270%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 02:07 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.75%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.91%EV -2.54%E -0.270%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.97%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -6.69%E -0.743%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 74.74%EV -13.58%E -11.71%K -84.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.63%EV -6.69%E -0.743%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 15.62%EV -16.01%E -2.89%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.53%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.66%EV -7.72%E -0.868%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.53%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.66%EV -7.72%E -0.868%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.19%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -11.87%E -1.40%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -13.74%E -2.41%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.35%EV -2.41%E -1.84%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -10.72%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.62%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.52%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -5.42%E -0.867%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -16.77%E -3.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.50% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.74% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76% | 2.7% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |