Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Toluca v Seattle Sounders FC

Inizio: 2026-08-06 02:12 UTC

Finale: Toluca 3–0 Seattle Sounders FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

43 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Toluca (Casa)

Previsione 74.50%1.34quota equa
EV -2.41%
Vantaggio -1.84%
Kelly -7.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.11%74.52%74.42%76.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.241.241.3186.21%80.40%80.65%76.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Seattle Sounders FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 10.37%9.64quota equa
EV +24.00%
Vantaggio +2.01%
Kelly +2.19%
Crescita +0.526%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.89%10.26%10.42%11.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.009.259.5011.9612.50%10.81%10.53%8.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 15.13%6.61quota equa
EV +5.93%
Vantaggio +0.847%
Kelly +0.988%
Crescita +0.059%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.70%15.22%15.16%17.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.006.126.257.0020.00%16.33%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Toluca (Casa): 74.50%; Seattle Sounders FC (Trasferta): 10.37%; Pareggio: 15.13%. Per Seattle Sounders FC (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 9.64. 10 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 11.96, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +24.00%.

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.68%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000%11.96I 8.36%NM 7.89%EV +24.00%E +2.01%K +2.19%G +0.526%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.44%EV -7.54%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 02:10
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +14.05%E +1.28%K +1.40%G +0.197%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 02:09
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.71%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV +5.93%E +0.847%K +0.988%G +0.059%4.3%2026-08-06 02:08
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.18%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -5.42%E -0.867%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 01:50
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 02:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -20.55%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 01:40
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 02:07
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 02:07
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-06 02:09
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%9.65I 10.36%NM 9.82%EV +0.052%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.58%EV -7.99%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 01:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.95%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 02:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.22%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 02:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.22%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 02:04
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:09
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:09
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.66%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.54%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 02:10
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.75%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.91%EV -2.54%E -0.270%K -0.302%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 02:07
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.75%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.91%EV -2.54%E -0.270%K -0.302%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 02:09
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.97%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -6.69%E -0.743%K -0.836%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 02:10
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 74.74%EV -13.58%E -11.71%K -84.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.63%EV -6.69%E -0.743%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 15.62%EV -16.01%E -2.89%K -3.52%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-06 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.53%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.66%EV -7.72%E -0.868%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 02:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.53%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.66%EV -7.72%E -0.868%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 02:00
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.19%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -11.87%E -1.40%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -13.74%E -2.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-06 01:55
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.35%EV -2.41%E -1.84%K -7.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 01:40
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -10.72%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 01:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.62%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-06 02:10
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.52%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -5.42%E -0.867%K -1.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 02:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-06 01:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-06 01:55
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-06 01:55
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -16.77%E -3.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 01:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.50%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.74%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76%2.7%2026-08-06 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%3.1%2026-08-06 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%3.1%2026-08-06 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%3.1%2026-08-06 02:10