Langue:Français
Toluca v Seattle Sounders FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Toluca (Local)
Prévision 74.50%1.34cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -7.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.11%74.52%74.42%76.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.161.241.241.3186.21%80.40%80.65%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Seattle Sounders FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.37%9.64cote équitable
EV +24.00%
Avantage +2.01%
Kelly +2.19%
Croissance +0.526%
avec la cote maximale 11.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.89%10.26%10.42%11.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.009.259.5011.9612.50%10.81%10.53%8.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 15.13%6.61cote équitable
EV +5.93%
Avantage +0.847%
Kelly +0.988%
Croissance +0.059%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.70%15.22%15.16%17.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.006.126.257.0020.00%16.33%16.00%14.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Toluca (Local) : 74.50% ; Seattle Sounders FC (Visiteur) : 10.37% ; Match nul : 15.13%. Pour Seattle Sounders FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 9.64. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 11.96, soit une espérance positive de +24.00%.
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.68%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 11.96I 8.36%NM 7.89%EV +24.00%E +2.01%K +2.19%G +0.526% | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.44%EV -7.54%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +14.05%E +1.28%K +1.40%G +0.197% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.71%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV +5.93%E +0.847%K +0.988%G +0.059% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 02:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.18%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -5.42%E -0.867%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 01:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -20.55%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-06 02:07 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-06 02:07 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.82%EV +0.052%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 6.08I 16.45%NM 15.58%EV -7.99%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.95%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 02:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.22%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 02:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.22%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 02:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.66%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.54%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.75%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.91%EV -2.54%E -0.270%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 02:07 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.75%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.91%EV -2.54%E -0.270%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.97%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -6.69%E -0.743%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 74.74%EV -13.58%E -11.71%K -84.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.63%EV -6.69%E -0.743%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 15.62%EV -16.01%E -2.89%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.53%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.66%EV -7.72%E -0.868%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.53%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.66%EV -7.72%E -0.868%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.19%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -11.87%E -1.40%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -13.74%E -2.41%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.35%EV -2.41%E -1.84%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -10.72%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.62%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.52%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -5.42%E -0.867%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -16.77%E -3.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.50% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.74% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76% | 2.7% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |