Idioma:Español
Toluca v Seattle Sounders FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Toluca (Local)
Predicción 74.50%1.34momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -1.84%
Kelly -7.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.11%74.52%74.42%76.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.161.241.241.3186.21%80.40%80.65%76.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Seattle Sounders FC (Visitante)
Predicción 10.37%9.64momio equitativo
EV +24.00%
Ventaja +2.01%
Kelly +2.19%
Crecimiento +0.526%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.89%10.26%10.42%11.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
8.009.259.5011.9612.50%10.81%10.53%8.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 15.13%6.61momio equitativo
EV +5.93%
Ventaja +0.847%
Kelly +0.988%
Crecimiento +0.059%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.70%15.22%15.16%17.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.006.126.257.0020.00%16.33%16.00%14.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Toluca (Local): 74.50%; Seattle Sounders FC (Visitante): 10.37%; Empate: 15.13%. Para Seattle Sounders FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 9.64. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 11.96, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +24.00%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.68%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 11.96I 8.36%NM 7.89%EV +24.00%E +2.01%K +2.19%G +0.526% | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.44%EV -7.54%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +14.05%E +1.28%K +1.40%G +0.197% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.71%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV +5.93%E +0.847%K +0.988%G +0.059% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 02:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.18%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -5.42%E -0.867%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 01:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -20.55%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-06 02:07 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-06 02:07 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.82%EV +0.052%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 6.08I 16.45%NM 15.58%EV -7.99%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.95%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 02:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.22%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 02:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.22%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 02:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.66%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.54%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.75%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.91%EV -2.54%E -0.270%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 02:07 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.75%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.91%EV -2.54%E -0.270%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 02:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.97%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -6.69%E -0.743%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 74.74%EV -13.58%E -11.71%K -84.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.63%EV -6.69%E -0.743%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 15.62%EV -16.01%E -2.89%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.53%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.66%EV -7.72%E -0.868%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.53%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.66%EV -7.72%E -0.868%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.19%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -11.87%E -1.40%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -13.74%E -2.41%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.35%EV -2.41%E -1.84%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -10.72%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.62%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.52%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -5.42%E -0.867%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -16.77%E -3.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-06 01:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.50% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.74% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76% | 2.7% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 02:10 |