StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Toluca v Seattle Sounders FC

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-06 02:12 UTC

Endstand: Toluca 3–0 Seattle Sounders FC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

43 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Toluca (Heim)

Prognose 74.50%1.34faire Quote
EV -2.41%
Vorteil -1.84%
Kelly -7.76%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.31

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.11%74.52%74.42%76.71%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.161.241.241.3186.21%80.40%80.65%76.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Sounders FC (Auswärts)

Prognose 10.37%9.64faire Quote
EV +24.00%
Vorteil +2.01%
Kelly +2.19%
Wachstum +0.526%

bei einer Höchstquote von 11.96

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
7.89%10.26%10.42%11.85%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
8.009.259.5011.9612.50%10.81%10.53%8.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 15.13%6.61faire Quote
EV +5.93%
Vorteil +0.847%
Kelly +0.988%
Wachstum +0.059%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.70%15.22%15.16%17.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.006.126.257.0020.00%16.33%16.00%14.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Toluca (Heim): 74.50%; Seattle Sounders FC (Auswärts): 10.37%; Unentschieden: 15.13%. Für Seattle Sounders FC (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 9.64. 10 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 11.96 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +24.00%.

Wettanbieterquoten (43 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.68%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000%11.96I 8.36%NM 7.89%EV +24.00%E +2.01%K +2.19%G +0.526%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.44%EV -7.54%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 02:10
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +14.05%E +1.28%K +1.40%G +0.197%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 02:09
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.71%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV +5.93%E +0.847%K +0.988%G +0.059%4.3%2026-08-06 02:08
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.18%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -5.42%E -0.867%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 01:50
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 02:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -20.55%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 01:40
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 02:07
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 02:07
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-06 02:09
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%9.65I 10.36%NM 9.82%EV +0.052%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.58%EV -7.99%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 01:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.95%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 02:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.22%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 02:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.22%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 02:04
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:09
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:09
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.66%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.54%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 02:10
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.75%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.91%EV -2.54%E -0.270%K -0.302%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 02:07
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.75%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.91%EV -2.54%E -0.270%K -0.302%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 02:09
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.97%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -6.69%E -0.743%K -0.836%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 02:10
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 74.74%EV -13.58%E -11.71%K -84.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.63%EV -6.69%E -0.743%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 15.62%EV -16.01%E -2.89%K -3.52%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-06 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.53%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.66%EV -7.72%E -0.868%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 02:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.53%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.66%EV -7.72%E -0.868%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 02:00
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.19%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -11.87%E -1.40%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -13.74%E -2.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-06 01:55
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.35%EV -2.41%E -1.84%K -7.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 01:40
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -10.72%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 01:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.62%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-06 02:10
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.52%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -5.42%E -0.867%K -1.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 02:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-06 01:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-06 01:55
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-06 01:55
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -16.77%E -3.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 01:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.50%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.74%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76%2.7%2026-08-06 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%3.1%2026-08-06 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%3.1%2026-08-06 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%3.1%2026-08-06 02:10