StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Toluca v Seattle Sounders FC

Matchstart: 2026-08-06 02:12 UTC

Slutresultat: Toluca 3–0 Seattle Sounders FC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Toluca (Hemma)

Prognos 74.50%1.34rättvist odds
EV -2.41%
Fördel -1.84%
Kelly -7.76%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.31

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
71.11%74.52%74.42%76.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.161.241.241.3186.21%80.40%80.65%76.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Sounders FC (Borta)

Prognos 10.37%9.64rättvist odds
EV +24.00%
Fördel +2.01%
Kelly +2.19%
Tillväxt +0.526%

med antagandet om högsta odds 11.96

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.89%10.26%10.42%11.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
8.009.259.5011.9612.50%10.81%10.53%8.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 15.13%6.61rättvist odds
EV +5.93%
Fördel +0.847%
Kelly +0.988%
Tillväxt +0.059%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.70%15.22%15.16%17.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.006.126.257.0020.00%16.33%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Toluca (Hemma): 74.50%; Seattle Sounders FC (Borta): 10.37%; Oavgjort: 15.13%. För Seattle Sounders FC (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 9.64. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 11.96, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +24.00%.

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.68%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000%11.96I 8.36%NM 7.89%EV +24.00%E +2.01%K +2.19%G +0.526%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.44%EV -7.54%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 02:10
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +14.05%E +1.28%K +1.40%G +0.197%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 02:09
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.71%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV +5.93%E +0.847%K +0.988%G +0.059%4.3%2026-08-06 02:08
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.18%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -5.42%E -0.867%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 01:50
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 02:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -20.55%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 01:40
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 02:07
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 02:07
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV +3.68%E +0.368%K +0.409%G +0.015%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-06 02:09
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%9.65I 10.36%NM 9.82%EV +0.052%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.58%EV -7.99%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 01:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.95%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 02:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.22%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 02:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.22%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 02:04
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:09
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:10
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 02:09
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.66%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -1.50%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.54%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.584%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 02:10
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.75%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.91%EV -2.54%E -0.270%K -0.302%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 02:07
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.75%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.37%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.91%EV -2.54%E -0.270%K -0.302%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 02:09
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.97%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -6.69%E -0.743%K -0.836%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 02:10
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 74.74%EV -13.58%E -11.71%K -84.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.63%EV -6.69%E -0.743%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 15.62%EV -16.01%E -2.89%K -3.52%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-06 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.53%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.66%EV -7.72%E -0.868%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 02:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.53%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.66%EV -7.72%E -0.868%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 02:00
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.19%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -11.87%E -1.40%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -13.74%E -2.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-06 01:55
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.35%EV -2.41%E -1.84%K -7.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 01:40
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -10.72%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 01:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.62%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-06 02:10
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.52%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -5.42%E -0.867%K -1.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 02:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-06 01:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-06 01:55
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -24.34%E -4.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-06 01:55
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -17.06%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -16.77%E -3.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 01:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.50%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.74%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76%2.7%2026-08-06 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%3.1%2026-08-06 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%3.1%2026-08-06 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%3.1%2026-08-06 02:10