Language:English
Cruz Azul v Chicago Fire
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cruz Azul (Local)
Prediction 39.20%2.55fair odd
EV -0.033%
Edge -0.013%
Kelly -0.022%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.22%39.29%39.18%41.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.312.252.5545.45%43.28%44.44%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Fire (Visit)
Prediction 31.29%3.20fair odd
EV +1.68%
Edge +0.516%
Kelly +0.746%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.66%31.29%31.28%33.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.623.043.063.2538.17%32.88%32.68%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.51%3.39fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.791%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.14%29.42%29.54%32.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.163.203.3034.48%31.62%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cruz Azul (Local): 39.20%; Chicago Fire (Visit): 31.29%; Draw: 29.51%. For Chicago Fire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.17%EV -2.39%E -0.958%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV +0.427%E +0.133%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.22%EV -12.94%E -4.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 00:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -7.09%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.55%EV -2.39%E -0.766%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.24%EV -3.79%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -7.09%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.55%EV -2.39%E -0.766%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.24%EV -3.79%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.02%EV -6.70%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.03%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.95%EV -2.91%E -0.883%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.58%EV -2.39%E -0.958%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.40%EV -4.27%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 00:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -6.77%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.99%E -3.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -6.77%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.99%E -3.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.033%E -0.013%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 23:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -1.99%E -0.797%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 00:47 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -12.94%E -4.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.70%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -13.96%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-13 23:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 00:43 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 00:43 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 00:43 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 00:43 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 37.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 32.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 30.13% | -3.8% | 2026-08-14 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |