Langue:Français
Cruz Azul v Chicago Fire
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cruz Azul (Local)
Prévision 39.20%2.55cote équitable
EV -0.033%
Avantage -0.013%
Kelly -0.022%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.22%39.29%39.18%41.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.312.252.5545.45%43.28%44.44%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Chicago Fire (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.29%3.20cote équitable
EV +1.68%
Avantage +0.516%
Kelly +0.746%
Croissance +0.013%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.66%31.29%31.28%33.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.623.043.063.2538.17%32.88%32.68%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.51%3.39cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.791%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.14%29.42%29.54%32.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.163.203.3034.48%31.62%31.25%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cruz Azul (Local) : 39.20% ; Chicago Fire (Visiteur) : 31.29% ; Match nul : 29.51%. Pour Chicago Fire (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.20. 17 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.25, soit une espérance positive de +1.68%.
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.17%EV -2.39%E -0.958%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV +0.427%E +0.133%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.22%EV -12.94%E -4.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 00:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -7.09%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.55%EV -2.39%E -0.766%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.24%EV -3.79%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -7.09%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.55%EV -2.39%E -0.766%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.24%EV -3.79%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.02%EV -6.70%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.03%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.95%EV -2.91%E -0.883%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.58%EV -2.39%E -0.958%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.40%EV -4.27%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 00:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -6.77%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.99%E -3.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -6.77%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.99%E -3.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.033%E -0.013%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 23:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -1.99%E -0.797%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 00:47 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -12.94%E -4.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.70%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -13.96%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-13 23:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 00:43 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 00:43 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 00:43 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 00:43 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 37.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 32.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 30.13% | -3.8% | 2026-08-14 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |