Idioma:Español
Cruz Azul v Chicago Fire
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cruz Azul (Local)
Predicción 39.20%2.55momio equitativo
EV -0.033%
Ventaja -0.013%
Kelly -0.022%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.22%39.29%39.18%41.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.312.252.5545.45%43.28%44.44%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Fire (Visitante)
Predicción 31.29%3.20momio equitativo
EV +1.68%
Ventaja +0.516%
Kelly +0.746%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.66%31.29%31.28%33.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.623.043.063.2538.17%32.88%32.68%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.51%3.39momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -0.791%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.14%29.42%29.54%32.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.163.203.3034.48%31.62%31.25%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cruz Azul (Local): 39.20%; Chicago Fire (Visitante): 31.29%; Empate: 29.51%. Para Chicago Fire (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.20. 17 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.68%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.17%EV -2.39%E -0.958%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV +0.427%E +0.133%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.22%EV -12.94%E -4.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 00:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -7.09%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.55%EV -2.39%E -0.766%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.24%EV -3.79%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -7.09%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.55%EV -2.39%E -0.766%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.24%EV -3.79%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.02%EV -6.70%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.03%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.95%EV -2.91%E -0.883%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.58%EV -2.39%E -0.958%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.40%EV -4.27%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 00:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -6.77%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.99%E -3.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -6.77%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.99%E -3.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.033%E -0.013%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 23:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -1.99%E -0.797%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 00:47 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -12.94%E -4.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.70%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -13.96%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-13 23:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 00:43 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 00:43 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 00:43 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 00:43 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 37.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 32.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 30.13% | -3.8% | 2026-08-14 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |