语言:简体中文
Cruz Azul v Chicago Fire
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Cruz Azul (主队)
预测 39.20%2.55公平赔率
EV -0.033%
优势 -0.013%
Kelly -0.022%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.55
博彩公司预测分布
37.22%39.29%39.18%41.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.312.252.5545.45%43.28%44.44%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
Chicago Fire (客队)
预测 31.29%3.20公平赔率
EV +1.68%
优势 +0.516%
Kelly +0.746%
增长率 +0.013%
假设最高赔率为 3.25
博彩公司预测分布
28.66%31.29%31.28%33.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.623.043.063.2538.17%32.88%32.68%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.51%3.39公平赔率
EV -2.61%
优势 -0.791%
Kelly -1.14%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.30
博彩公司预测分布
27.14%29.42%29.54%32.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.163.203.3034.48%31.62%31.25%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cruz Azul (主队)：39.20%；Chicago Fire (客队)：31.29%；平局：29.51%。 对于“Chicago Fire (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.20。 当时有17家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.25，对应+1.68%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.17%EV -2.39%E -0.958%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV +0.427%E +0.133%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.22%EV -12.94%E -4.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 00:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -7.09%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.55%EV -2.39%E -0.766%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.24%EV -3.79%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -7.09%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.55%EV -2.39%E -0.766%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.24%EV -3.79%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.02%EV -6.70%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.03%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.95%EV -2.91%E -0.883%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.58%EV -2.39%E -0.958%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.40%EV -4.27%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 00:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -6.77%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.99%E -3.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -6.77%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.99%E -3.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.033%E -0.013%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 23:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -1.99%E -0.797%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 00:47 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -12.94%E -4.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.70%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 00:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -13.96%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-13 23:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 00:43 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 00:43 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 00:43 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 00:43 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 37.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 32.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 30.13% | -3.8% | 2026-08-14 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 00:45 |