StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cruz Azul v Chicago Fire

Matchstart: 2026-08-14 01:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Cruz Azul 1–2 Chicago Fire

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cruz Azul (Hemma)

Prognos 39.20%2.55rättvist odds
EV -0.033%
Fördel -0.013%
Kelly -0.022%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.22%39.29%39.18%41.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.312.252.5545.45%43.28%44.44%39.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Fire (Borta)

Prognos 31.29%3.20rättvist odds
EV +1.68%
Fördel +0.516%
Kelly +0.746%
Tillväxt +0.013%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.66%31.29%31.28%33.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.623.043.063.2538.17%32.88%32.68%30.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.51%3.39rättvist odds
EV -2.61%
Fördel -0.791%
Kelly -1.14%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.14%29.42%29.54%32.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.163.203.3034.48%31.62%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Cruz Azul (Hemma): 39.20%; Chicago Fire (Borta): 31.29%; Oavgjort: 29.51%. För Chicago Fire (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.20. 17 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.68%.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 00:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 00:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 00:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 00:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 00:49
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 00:45
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 00:49
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 00:49
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 00:49
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 00:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 00:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 00:49
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 00:49
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.58%E -5.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.68%E +0.516%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 00:49
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.17%EV -2.39%E -0.958%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV +0.427%E +0.133%K +0.193%G +0.001%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.22%EV -12.94%E -4.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 00:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -7.09%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.55%EV -2.39%E -0.766%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.24%EV -3.79%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -7.09%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.55%EV -2.39%E -0.766%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.24%EV -3.79%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 00:55
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 00:44
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 00:40
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.02%EV -6.70%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.03%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.95%EV -2.91%E -0.883%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 00:55
ReBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.58%EV -2.39%E -0.958%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.40%EV -4.27%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 00:44
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 00:45
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 00:54
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 00:45
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -6.77%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.99%E -3.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 00:44
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -6.77%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.99%E -3.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 00:44
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.033%E -0.013%K -0.022%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 23:04
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 00:44
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 00:49
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 00:45
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 00:49
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -1.99%E -0.797%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 00:47
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -12.94%E -4.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 00:44
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-14 00:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-14 00:45
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.70%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 00:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-14 00:44
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 00:49
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -13.96%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-13 23:44
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-14 00:43
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-14 00:43
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-14 00:43
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -18.03%E -6.88%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-14 00:43
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 37.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 32.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 30.13%-3.8%2026-08-14 00:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-08-14 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-08-14 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-08-14 00:45