Language:English
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)
Prediction 25.90%3.86fair odd
EV -0.293%
Edge -0.076%
Kelly -0.103%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.57%25.73%26.00%27.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.613.603.8530.30%27.69%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit)
Prediction 46.81%2.14fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.21%46.99%46.80%49.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.941.952.0857.80%51.43%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.29%3.66fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.490%
Kelly -0.679%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.17%27.29%27.19%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.383.6032.26%29.77%29.59%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local): 25.90%; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit): 46.81%; Draw: 27.29%. For Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -0.293%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.52%E -6.10%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 11:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.12%EV -12.46%E -6.66%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 11:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 11:23 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -2.88%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -12.46%E -6.66%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 11:28 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -2.88%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -14.33%E -7.83%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -2.88%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -14.33%E -7.83%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-15 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.84%EV -3.66%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.22%EV -2.63%E -1.26%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.94%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.29%EV -8.24%E -4.21%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 11:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.31%E -3.69%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.76%E -0.490%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.50%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 11:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.50%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -19.01%E -10.99%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -7.80%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.19%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.77%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 25.95%EV -7.80%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.87%EV -9.65%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.17%EV -3.67%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.31%E -3.69%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 11:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.31%E -3.69%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -11.05%E -5.82%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.24%E -4.21%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.18%E -4.73%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 11:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.38%EV -12.92%E -6.95%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.73%EV -14.80%E -8.13%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-05-15 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |