A Escola das Odds

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Início: 2026-05-15 11:35 UTC

Final: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 1–2 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

Previsão 25.90%3.86odd justa
EV -0.293%
Vantagem -0.076%
Kelly -0.103%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.57%25.73%26.00%27.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.613.603.8530.30%27.69%27.78%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visitante)

Previsão 46.81%2.14odd justa
EV -2.63%
Vantagem -1.26%
Kelly -2.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.21%46.99%46.80%49.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.941.952.0857.80%51.43%51.28%48.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.29%3.66odd justa
EV -1.76%
Vantagem -0.490%
Kelly -0.679%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.17%27.29%27.19%28.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.363.383.6032.26%29.77%29.59%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.52%E -6.10%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:25
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:24
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:20
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:24
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:25
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:20
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 11:20
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.12%EV -12.46%E -6.66%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 11:25
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:25
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:23
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 11:24
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -2.88%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -12.46%E -6.66%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 11:28
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -2.88%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -14.33%E -7.83%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:24
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -2.88%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -14.33%E -7.83%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:20
Pinnacle3.72I 26.88%NM 25.84%EV -3.66%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.22%EV -2.63%E -1.26%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.94%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 11:29
Marathon Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.29%EV -8.24%E -4.21%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:30
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 11:25
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 11:15
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.31%E -3.69%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.76%E -0.490%K -0.679%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 11:14
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.50%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:28
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.50%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:29
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 11:15
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 11:14
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 11:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -19.01%E -10.99%K -26.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-15 11:15
1xBet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -7.80%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.19%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.77%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 11:29
GTbets3.56I 28.09%NM 25.95%EV -7.80%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.87%EV -9.65%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.17%EV -3.67%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:15
LowVig.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 11:29
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 11:29
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.31%E -3.69%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 11:19
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.31%E -3.69%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 11:15
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -11.05%E -5.82%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 11:14
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:30
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.24%E -4.21%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 11:15
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.18%E -4.73%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:15
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:15
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:14
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:19
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:14
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:15
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 11:14
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.38%EV -12.92%E -6.95%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-15 11:15
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.73%EV -14.80%E -8.13%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-15 11:14
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 11:29
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-15 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-15 11:14
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-15 11:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-05-15 11:29
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-05-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-05-15 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-05-15 11:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-05-15 11:29