Школа коэффициентов

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Начало: 2026-05-15 11:35 UTC

Итог: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 1–2 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Хозяева)

Прогноз 25.90%3.86справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.293%
Преимущество -0.076%
Kelly -0.103%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.85

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.57%25.73%26.00%27.46%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.613.603.8530.30%27.69%27.78%25.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Гости)

Прогноз 46.81%2.14справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.63%
Преимущество -1.26%
Kelly -2.43%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.08

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.21%46.99%46.80%49.24%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.731.941.952.0857.80%51.43%51.28%48.08%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.29%3.66справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.76%
Преимущество -0.490%
Kelly -0.679%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.17%27.29%27.19%28.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.363.383.6032.26%29.77%29.59%27.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.52%E -6.10%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:25
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:24
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:20
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:24
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:25
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:20
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 11:20
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.12%EV -12.46%E -6.66%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 11:25
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:25
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:23
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 11:24
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -2.88%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -12.46%E -6.66%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 11:28
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -2.88%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -14.33%E -7.83%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:24
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -2.88%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -14.33%E -7.83%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:20
Pinnacle3.72I 26.88%NM 25.84%EV -3.66%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.22%EV -2.63%E -1.26%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.94%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 11:29
Marathon Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.29%EV -8.24%E -4.21%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:30
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 11:25
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 11:15
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.31%E -3.69%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.76%E -0.490%K -0.679%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 11:14
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.50%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:28
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.50%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:29
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 11:15
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 11:14
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 11:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -19.01%E -10.99%K -26.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-15 11:15
1xBet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -7.80%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.19%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.77%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 11:29
GTbets3.56I 28.09%NM 25.95%EV -7.80%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.87%EV -9.65%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.17%EV -3.67%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:15
LowVig.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 11:29
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 11:29
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.31%E -3.69%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 11:19
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.31%E -3.69%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 11:15
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -11.05%E -5.82%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 11:14
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:30
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.24%E -4.21%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 11:15
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.18%E -4.73%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:15
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:15
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:14
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:19
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:14
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:15
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 11:14
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.38%EV -12.92%E -6.95%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-15 11:15
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.73%EV -14.80%E -8.13%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-15 11:14
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 11:29
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-15 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-15 11:14
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-15 11:14
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-05-15 11:29
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-05-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-05-15 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-05-15 11:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-05-15 11:29