L’École des cotesFrançais
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)
Prévision 25.90%3.86cote équitable
EV -0.293%
Avantage -0.076%
Kelly -0.103%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.57%25.73%26.00%27.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.613.603.8530.30%27.69%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 46.81%2.14cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -2.43%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.21%46.99%46.80%49.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.941.952.0857.80%51.43%51.28%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.29%3.66cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.490%
Kelly -0.679%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.17%27.29%27.19%28.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.363.383.6032.26%29.77%29.59%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.52%E -6.10%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 11:20 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 11:25 |
| betPARX | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 11:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 11:20 |
| LeoVegas | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.12%EV -12.46%E -6.66%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 11:25 |
| SportsBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 11:25 |
| FanDuel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 11:23 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -2.88%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -12.46%E -6.66%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 11:28 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -2.88%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -14.33%E -7.83%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -2.88%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -14.33%E -7.83%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-15 11:20 |
| Pinnacle | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.84%EV -3.66%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.22%EV -2.63%E -1.26%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.94%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.29%EV -8.24%E -4.21%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 11:25 |
| DraftKings | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.31%E -3.69%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.76%E -0.490%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.50%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 11:28 |
| BetUS | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.50%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| Paddy Power | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -19.01%E -10.99%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| 1xBet | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -7.80%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.19%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.77%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| GTbets | 3.56I 28.09%NM 25.95%EV -7.80%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.87%EV -9.65%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.17%EV -3.67%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.31%E -3.69%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 11:19 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.31%E -3.69%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -11.05%E -5.82%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.24%E -4.21%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| Bet Right | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.18%E -4.73%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| betfred_uk | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 11:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| Everygame | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.38%EV -12.92%E -6.95%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.73%EV -14.80%E -8.13%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
| BoyleSports | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-15 11:14 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| Kalshi | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-05-15 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |