مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

البداية: 2026-05-15 11:35 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 1–2 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 25.90%3.86السعر العادل
EV -0.293%
الأفضلية -0.076%
Kelly -0.103%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.57%25.73%26.00%27.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.613.603.8530.30%27.69%27.78%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.81%2.14السعر العادل
EV -2.63%
الأفضلية -1.26%
Kelly -2.43%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.21%46.99%46.80%49.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.941.952.0857.80%51.43%51.28%48.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.29%3.66السعر العادل
EV -1.76%
الأفضلية -0.490%
Kelly -0.679%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.17%27.29%27.19%28.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.363.383.6032.26%29.77%29.59%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.52%E -6.10%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:25
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:24
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:20
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:24
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:25
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:20
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -11.99%E -6.38%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 11:20
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -0.293%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.12%EV -12.46%E -6.66%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 11:25
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:25
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:23
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 11:24
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -2.88%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -12.46%E -6.66%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 11:28
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -2.88%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -14.33%E -7.83%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:24
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -2.88%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -14.33%E -7.83%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:20
Pinnacle3.72I 26.88%NM 25.84%EV -3.66%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.22%EV -2.63%E -1.26%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.94%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 11:29
Marathon Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.29%EV -8.24%E -4.21%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:30
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 11:25
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 11:15
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.31%E -3.69%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.76%E -0.490%K -0.679%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 11:14
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.50%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:28
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.50%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:29
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 11:15
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 11:14
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 11:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -19.01%E -10.99%K -26.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-15 11:15
1xBet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -7.80%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.19%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.77%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 11:29
GTbets3.56I 28.09%NM 25.95%EV -7.80%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.87%EV -9.65%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.17%EV -3.67%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:15
LowVig.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 11:29
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 11:29
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.31%E -3.69%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 11:19
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.31%E -3.69%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 11:15
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -11.05%E -5.82%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 11:14
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:30
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.24%E -4.21%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 11:15
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.18%E -4.73%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:15
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:15
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:14
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:19
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:14
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.37%E -3.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:15
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 11:14
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.38%EV -12.92%E -6.95%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-15 11:15
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.73%EV -14.80%E -8.13%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-15 11:14
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 11:29
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-15 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-15 11:14
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-15 11:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-05-15 11:29
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-05-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-05-15 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-05-15 11:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-05-15 11:29