Language:English
Shanghai SIPG FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)
Prediction 38.54%2.59fair odd
EV +0.193%
Edge +0.074%
Kelly +0.121%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.51%38.63%38.53%41.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.372.402.6046.51%42.26%41.75%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit)
Prediction 31.45%3.18fair odd
EV -0.922%
Edge -0.293%
Kelly -0.429%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.61%31.32%31.54%32.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.952.953.1537.04%33.93%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.01%3.33fair odd
EV +0.537%
Edge +0.160%
Kelly +0.228%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.48%30.05%29.94%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.113.103.3534.48%32.15%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai SIPG FC (Local): 38.54%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit): 31.45%; Draw: 30.01%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.537%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.89%EV -15.99%E -7.34%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -0.964%E -0.292%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -17.15%E -7.98%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -17.15%E -7.98%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.07%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.44%EV -5.01%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.49%EV -3.36%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 11:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.40%EV -3.28%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.60%EV -0.922%E -0.293%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.99%EV -6.67%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -2.49%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 11:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -8.16%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.53%EV -7.90%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.29%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -2.49%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 11:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.30%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.00%EV -5.95%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.69%EV -9.37%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV +0.193%E +0.074%K +0.121%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV +0.193%E +0.074%K +0.121%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV +0.193%E +0.074%K +0.121%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -13.29%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -15.08%E -5.58%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -11.47%E -3.89%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 11:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.69% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |