L’École des cotes

Shanghai SIPG FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 12:00 UTC

Score final : Shanghai SIPG FC 1–2 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Prévision 38.54%2.59cote équitable
EV +0.193%
Avantage +0.074%
Kelly +0.121%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.51%38.63%38.53%41.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.372.402.6046.51%42.26%41.75%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.45%3.18cote équitable
EV -0.922%
Avantage -0.293%
Kelly -0.429%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.61%31.32%31.54%32.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.952.953.1537.04%33.93%33.90%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.01%3.33cote équitable
EV +0.537%
Avantage +0.160%
Kelly +0.228%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.48%30.05%29.94%31.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.113.103.3534.48%32.15%32.26%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.89%EV -15.99%E -7.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -0.964%E -0.292%K -0.419%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 11:40
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 11:55
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -17.15%E -7.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -17.15%E -7.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 11:40
GTbets2.43I 41.15%NM 39.07%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.44%EV -5.01%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.49%EV -3.36%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 11:35
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 11:40
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 11:40
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 11:55
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 11:40
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.40%EV -3.28%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.60%EV -0.922%E -0.293%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.99%EV -6.67%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 11:55
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -2.49%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 11:54
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 11:55
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -8.16%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 11:40
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 38.53%EV -7.90%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 11:55
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.29%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -2.49%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:53
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.30%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.00%EV -5.95%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.69%EV -9.37%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 11:55
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV +0.193%E +0.074%K +0.121%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 11:55
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV +0.193%E +0.074%K +0.121%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 11:55
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV +0.193%E +0.074%K +0.121%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 11:55
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 11:55
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 11:55
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 11:55
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 11:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-21 11:30
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -13.29%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -15.08%E -5.58%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-21 11:55
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -11.47%E -3.89%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 11:54
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 11:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 11:40
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-21 11:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-04-21 11:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.69%1.1%2026-04-21 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-04-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-04-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-04-21 11:55