La scuola delle quote

Shanghai SIPG FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Inizio: 2026-04-21 12:00 UTC

Finale: Shanghai SIPG FC 1–2 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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44 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Casa)

Previsione 38.54%2.59quota equa
EV +0.193%
Vantaggio +0.074%
Kelly +0.121%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.51%38.63%38.53%41.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.372.402.6046.51%42.26%41.75%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.45%3.18quota equa
EV -0.922%
Vantaggio -0.293%
Kelly -0.429%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.61%31.32%31.54%32.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.952.953.1537.04%33.93%33.90%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.01%3.33quota equa
EV +0.537%
Vantaggio +0.160%
Kelly +0.228%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.48%30.05%29.94%31.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.113.103.3534.48%32.15%32.26%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.89%EV -15.99%E -7.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -0.964%E -0.292%K -0.419%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 11:40
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 11:55
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -17.15%E -7.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -17.15%E -7.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 11:40
GTbets2.43I 41.15%NM 39.07%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.44%EV -5.01%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.49%EV -3.36%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 11:35
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 11:40
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 11:40
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 11:55
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 11:40
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.40%EV -3.28%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.60%EV -0.922%E -0.293%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.99%EV -6.67%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 11:55
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -2.49%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 11:54
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 11:55
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -8.16%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 11:40
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 38.53%EV -7.90%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 11:55
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.29%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -2.49%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:53
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.30%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.00%EV -5.95%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.69%EV -9.37%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 11:55
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV +0.193%E +0.074%K +0.121%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 11:55
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV +0.193%E +0.074%K +0.121%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 11:55
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV +0.193%E +0.074%K +0.121%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 11:55
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 11:55
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 11:55
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 11:55
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 11:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-21 11:30
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -13.29%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -15.08%E -5.58%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-21 11:55
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -11.47%E -3.89%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 11:54
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 11:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 11:40
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-21 11:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-04-21 11:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.69%1.1%2026-04-21 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-04-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-04-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-04-21 11:55