Школа коэффициентов

Shanghai SIPG FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Начало: 2026-04-21 12:00 UTC

Итог: Shanghai SIPG FC 1–2 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

44 букмекерские конторы (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Хозяева)

Прогноз 38.54%2.59справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.193%
Преимущество +0.074%
Kelly +0.121%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.51%38.63%38.53%41.89%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.152.372.402.6046.51%42.26%41.75%38.46%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Гости)

Прогноз 31.45%3.18справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.922%
Преимущество -0.293%
Kelly -0.429%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.15

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.61%31.32%31.54%32.46%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.702.952.953.1537.04%33.93%33.90%31.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 30.01%3.33справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.537%
Преимущество +0.160%
Kelly +0.228%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.48%30.05%29.94%31.65%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.113.103.3534.48%32.15%32.26%29.85%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (44 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.89%EV -15.99%E -7.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -0.964%E -0.292%K -0.419%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 11:40
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 11:55
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -17.15%E -7.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -17.15%E -7.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 11:40
GTbets2.43I 41.15%NM 39.07%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.44%EV -5.01%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.49%EV -3.36%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 11:35
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 11:40
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 11:40
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 11:55
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 11:40
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.40%EV -3.28%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.60%EV -0.922%E -0.293%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.99%EV -6.67%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 11:55
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -2.49%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 11:54
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 11:55
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -8.16%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 11:40
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 38.53%EV -7.90%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 11:55
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.29%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -2.49%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:53
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.30%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.00%EV -5.95%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.69%EV -9.37%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 11:55
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV +0.193%E +0.074%K +0.121%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 11:55
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV +0.193%E +0.074%K +0.121%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 11:55
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV +0.193%E +0.074%K +0.121%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 11:55
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 11:55
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 11:55
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 11:55
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 11:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-21 11:30
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -13.29%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -15.08%E -5.58%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-21 11:55
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -11.47%E -3.89%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 11:54
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 11:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 11:40
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-21 11:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-04-21 11:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.69%1.1%2026-04-21 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-04-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-04-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-04-21 11:55