مدرسة الاحتمالات

Shanghai SIPG FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

البداية: 2026-04-21 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Shanghai SIPG FC 1–2 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

44 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Shanghai SIPG FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.54%2.59السعر العادل
EV +0.193%
الأفضلية +0.074%
Kelly +0.121%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.51%38.63%38.53%41.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.372.402.6046.51%42.26%41.75%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.45%3.18السعر العادل
EV -0.922%
الأفضلية -0.293%
Kelly -0.429%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.61%31.32%31.54%32.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.952.953.1537.04%33.93%33.90%31.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.01%3.33السعر العادل
EV +0.537%
الأفضلية +0.160%
Kelly +0.228%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.48%30.05%29.94%31.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.113.103.3534.48%32.15%32.26%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV +0.537%E +0.160%K +0.228%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-21 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.89%EV -15.99%E -7.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -0.964%E -0.292%K -0.419%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 11:40
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 11:55
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -17.15%E -7.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -17.15%E -7.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 11:40
GTbets2.43I 41.15%NM 39.07%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.44%EV -5.01%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.49%EV -3.36%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 11:35
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 11:40
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 11:40
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 11:55
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 11:40
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.40%EV -3.28%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.60%EV -0.922%E -0.293%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.99%EV -6.67%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 11:55
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -2.49%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 11:54
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 11:55
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -8.16%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 11:40
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 38.53%EV -7.90%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 11:55
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.29%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -2.49%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:53
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.30%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.00%EV -5.95%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.69%EV -9.37%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 11:55
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV +0.193%E +0.074%K +0.121%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 11:55
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV +0.193%E +0.074%K +0.121%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 11:55
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV +0.193%E +0.074%K +0.121%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 11:55
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 11:55
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 11:55
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 11:55
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 11:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-21 11:30
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -13.29%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -15.08%E -5.58%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-21 11:55
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -11.47%E -3.89%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 11:54
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 11:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 11:40
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-21 11:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-04-21 11:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.69%1.1%2026-04-21 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-04-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-04-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-04-21 11:55