Language:English
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)
Prediction 35.04%2.85fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -0.936%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.82%34.96%35.04%35.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.652.652.7841.67%37.74%37.74%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit)
Prediction 39.78%2.51fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.08%39.82%39.79%41.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.4446.51%43.46%43.48%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.18%3.97fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.460%
Kelly -0.619%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.90%25.22%25.17%27.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.643.703.9032.26%27.47%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local): 35.04%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit): 39.78%; Draw: 25.18%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -1.79%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.62%EV -2.60%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.44%EV -2.93%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.94%EV -6.58%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -2.60%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.23%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 04:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.86%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.86%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.33%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 08:42 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.33%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.44%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.87%EV -4.12%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.69%EV -11.62%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 04:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.08%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -3.05%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 04:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.79%E -0.460%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 04:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.24%EV -6.11%E -2.59%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -11.28%E -5.06%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 12:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -11.28%E -5.06%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 12:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 04:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -4.31%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 06:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-05 08:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -13.27%E -6.09%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -13.27%E -6.09%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.79%E -0.460%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 04:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-05 04:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -7.70%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 08:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 08:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -13.13%E -3.80%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-05 08:43 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -10.66%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.75%EV -10.66%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.28%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-05 06:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-05 06:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.79%EV -14.16%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.69%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.84%EV -14.47%E -6.73%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -21.94%E -7.08%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-05 04:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24% | 1.6% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24% | 1.6% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 07:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |