La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)
Predicción 35.04%2.85momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -0.936%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.82%34.96%35.04%35.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.652.652.7841.67%37.74%37.74%35.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante)
Predicción 39.78%2.51momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.08%39.82%39.79%41.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.302.302.4446.51%43.46%43.48%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.18%3.97momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.460%
Kelly -0.619%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.90%25.22%25.17%27.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.643.703.9032.26%27.47%27.03%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.62%EV -2.60%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.44%EV -2.93%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.94%EV -6.58%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 08:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -2.60%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.23%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 08:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 04:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.86%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.86%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| Bovada | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.33%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 08:42 |
| BetUS | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.33%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| GTbets | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.44%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.87%EV -4.12%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.69%EV -11.62%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 04:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.08%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -3.05%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 04:19 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.79%E -0.460%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 04:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.24%EV -6.11%E -2.59%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -11.28%E -5.06%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 12:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -11.28%E -5.06%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 12:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 04:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -4.31%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 06:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-05 08:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -13.27%E -6.09%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -13.27%E -6.09%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.79%E -0.460%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 04:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-05 04:19 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -7.70%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 08:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 08:38 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| Everygame | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -13.13%E -3.80%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-05 08:43 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -10.66%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.75%EV -10.66%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.28%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-05 06:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-05 06:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.79%EV -14.16%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.69%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.84%EV -14.47%E -6.73%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -21.94%E -7.08%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-05 04:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24% | 1.6% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24% | 1.6% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 07:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |