مدرسة الاحتمالات

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

البداية: 2026-05-05 11:35 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC 4–1 Shanghai Shenhua FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.04%2.85السعر العادل
EV -2.60%
الأفضلية -0.936%
Kelly -1.46%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.82%34.96%35.04%35.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.652.652.7841.67%37.74%37.74%35.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Shanghai Shenhua FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.78%2.51السعر العادل
EV -2.93%
الأفضلية -1.20%
Kelly -2.03%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.08%39.82%39.79%41.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.302.302.4446.51%43.46%43.48%40.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.18%3.97السعر العادل
EV -1.79%
الأفضلية -0.460%
Kelly -0.619%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.90%25.22%25.17%27.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.643.703.9032.26%27.47%27.03%25.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.62%EV -2.60%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.44%EV -2.93%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.94%EV -6.58%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 08:50
1xBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -2.60%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.23%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 08:49
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 04:30
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:35
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:35
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:35
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:35
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:39
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:39
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.86%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 04:35
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.86%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 04:35
Bovada2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.33%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 08:42
BetUS2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.33%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 08:45
GTbets2.72I 36.76%NM 34.44%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.87%EV -4.12%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.69%EV -11.62%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 04:44
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.08%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -3.05%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 04:19
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 04:35
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.79%E -0.460%K -0.619%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 04:20
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.24%EV -6.11%E -2.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 08:45
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -11.28%E -5.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 12:34
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -11.28%E -5.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 12:34
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 04:30
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -4.31%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 06:15
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 04:34
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-05 08:44
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -13.27%E -6.09%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 12:35
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -13.27%E -6.09%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 12:35
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.79%E -0.460%K -0.619%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 04:19
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 04:34
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 04:34
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 04:19
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 04:55
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 04:55
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 04:54
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 04:54
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -7.70%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 04:35
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 08:25
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 08:38
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-05 08:35
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -13.13%E -3.80%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-05 08:43
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -10.66%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-05 04:35
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.75%EV -10.66%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.28%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-05 04:34
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-05 06:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-05 06:19
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.79%EV -14.16%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-05 04:34
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 35.69%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.84%EV -14.47%E -6.73%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-05 08:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -21.94%E -7.08%K -10.45%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-05 04:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%1.0%2026-05-05 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-05-05 09:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-05-05 09:05
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-05-05 07:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-05-05 09:20