L’École des cotes

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 11:35 UTC

Score final : Shandong Luneng Taishan FC 4–1 Shanghai Shenhua FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)

Prévision 35.04%2.85cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -0.936%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.82%34.96%35.04%35.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.652.652.7841.67%37.74%37.74%35.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.78%2.51cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.08%39.82%39.79%41.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.302.302.4446.51%43.46%43.48%40.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.18%3.97cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.460%
Kelly -0.619%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.90%25.22%25.17%27.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.643.703.9032.26%27.47%27.03%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.62%EV -2.60%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.44%EV -2.93%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.94%EV -6.58%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 08:50
1xBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -2.60%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.23%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 08:49
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 04:30
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:35
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:35
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:35
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:35
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:39
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:39
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.86%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 04:35
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.86%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 04:35
Bovada2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.33%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 08:42
BetUS2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.33%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 08:45
GTbets2.72I 36.76%NM 34.44%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.87%EV -4.12%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.69%EV -11.62%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 04:44
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.08%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -3.05%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 04:19
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 04:35
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.79%E -0.460%K -0.619%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 04:20
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.24%EV -6.11%E -2.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 08:45
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -11.28%E -5.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 12:34
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -11.28%E -5.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 12:34
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 04:30
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -4.31%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 06:15
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 04:34
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-05 08:44
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -13.27%E -6.09%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 12:35
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -13.27%E -6.09%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 12:35
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.79%E -0.460%K -0.619%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 04:19
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 04:34
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 04:34
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 04:19
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 04:55
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 04:55
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 04:54
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 04:54
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -7.70%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 04:35
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 08:25
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 08:38
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-05 08:35
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -13.13%E -3.80%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-05 08:43
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -10.66%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-05 04:35
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.75%EV -10.66%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.28%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-05 04:34
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-05 06:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-05 06:19
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.79%EV -14.16%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-05 04:34
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 35.69%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.84%EV -14.47%E -6.73%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-05 08:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -21.94%E -7.08%K -10.45%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-05 04:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%1.0%2026-05-05 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-05-05 09:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-05-05 09:05
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-05-05 07:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-05-05 09:20