Язык:Русский
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Хозяева)
Прогноз 35.04%2.85справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.60%
Преимущество -0.936%
Kelly -1.46%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.78
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
33.82%34.96%35.04%35.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.652.652.7841.67%37.74%37.74%35.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Гости)
Прогноз 39.78%2.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.93%
Преимущество -1.20%
Kelly -2.03%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.44
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.08%39.82%39.79%41.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.152.302.302.4446.51%43.46%43.48%40.98%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 25.18%3.97справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.79%
Преимущество -0.460%
Kelly -0.619%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.90%25.22%25.17%27.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.643.703.9032.26%27.47%27.03%25.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Хозяева): 35.04%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Гости): 39.78%; Ничья: 25.18%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.97. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.90, математическое ожидание — -1.79%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.62%EV -2.60%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.44%EV -2.93%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.94%EV -6.58%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -2.60%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.23%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 04:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.86%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.86%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.33%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 08:42 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.33%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.44%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.87%EV -4.12%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.69%EV -11.62%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 04:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.08%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -3.05%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 04:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.79%E -0.460%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 04:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.24%EV -6.11%E -2.59%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -11.28%E -5.06%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 12:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -11.28%E -5.06%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 12:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 04:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -4.31%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 06:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-05 08:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -13.27%E -6.09%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -13.27%E -6.09%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.79%E -0.460%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 04:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-05 04:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -7.70%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 08:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 08:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -13.13%E -3.80%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-05 08:43 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -10.66%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.75%EV -10.66%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.28%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-05 06:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-05 06:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.79%EV -14.16%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.69%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.84%EV -14.47%E -6.73%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -21.94%E -7.08%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-05 04:19 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24% | 1.6% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24% | 1.6% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 07:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |