La scuola delle quote

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Inizio: 2026-05-05 11:35 UTC

Finale: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC 4–1 Shanghai Shenhua FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Casa)

Previsione 35.04%2.85quota equa
EV -2.60%
Vantaggio -0.936%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.82%34.96%35.04%35.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.652.652.7841.67%37.74%37.74%35.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.78%2.51quota equa
EV -2.93%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.08%39.82%39.79%41.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.302.302.4446.51%43.46%43.48%40.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.18%3.97quota equa
EV -1.79%
Vantaggio -0.460%
Kelly -0.619%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.90%25.22%25.17%27.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.643.703.9032.26%27.47%27.03%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.62%EV -2.60%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.44%EV -2.93%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.94%EV -6.58%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 08:50
1xBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -2.60%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.23%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 08:49
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 04:30
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:35
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:35
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:35
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:35
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:39
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:39
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.86%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 04:35
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.86%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 04:35
Bovada2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.33%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 08:42
BetUS2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.33%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 08:45
GTbets2.72I 36.76%NM 34.44%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.87%EV -4.12%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.69%EV -11.62%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 04:44
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.08%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -3.05%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 04:19
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 04:35
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.79%E -0.460%K -0.619%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 04:20
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.24%EV -6.11%E -2.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 08:45
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -11.28%E -5.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 12:34
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -11.28%E -5.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 12:34
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 04:30
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -4.31%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 06:15
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 04:34
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-05 08:44
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -13.27%E -6.09%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 12:35
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -13.27%E -6.09%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 12:35
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.79%E -0.460%K -0.619%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 04:19
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 04:34
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 04:34
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 04:19
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 04:55
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 04:55
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 04:54
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 04:54
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -7.70%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 04:35
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 08:25
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 08:38
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-05 08:35
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -13.13%E -3.80%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-05 08:43
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -10.66%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-05 04:35
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.75%EV -10.66%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.28%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-05 04:34
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-05 06:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-05 06:19
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.79%EV -14.16%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-05 04:34
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 35.69%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.84%EV -14.47%E -6.73%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-05 08:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -21.94%E -7.08%K -10.45%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-05 04:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%1.0%2026-05-05 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-05-05 09:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-05-05 09:05
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-05-05 07:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-05-05 09:20