Language:English
Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)
Prediction 75.61%1.32fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -8.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.11%75.20%75.69%76.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.231.231.2984.75%81.09%81.30%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit)
Prediction 8.71%11.48fair odd
EV +4.53%
Edge +0.378%
Kelly +0.412%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 12.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.74%8.93%8.62%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.0010.1510.0012.0012.50%9.86%10.00%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.68%6.38fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.189%
Kelly -0.225%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.09%15.87%15.69%17.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.735.756.3020.00%17.46%17.39%15.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local): 75.61%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit): 8.71%; Draw: 15.68%. For Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.48. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV +4.53%E +0.378%K +0.412%G +0.019% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.14%EV -1.19%E -0.189%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.52%E -7.04%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +4.53%E +0.378%K +0.412%G +0.019% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.40%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 11.95I 8.37%NM 7.99%EV +4.10%E +0.343%K +0.374%G +0.015% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.61%EV -4.02%E -0.656%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.25%EV -2.00%E -0.178%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV -7.47%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.98%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 11:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.28%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -4.33%E -0.710%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-11 11:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-11 11:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-11 11:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -10.79%E -9.14%K -59.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -10.79%E -9.14%K -59.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-11 11:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.54%EV -2.47%E -1.91%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 10.93I 9.15%NM 8.80%EV -4.79%E -0.438%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.66%EV -9.50%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 11:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.38%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 11:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 11:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-11 11:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-11 11:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -17.66%E -3.36%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-11 11:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-11 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.85%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -10.60%E -1.86%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-11 11:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.96%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -14.63%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.47%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-11 11:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.92%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.33%EV -14.63%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -15.31%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -8.52%E -7.04%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -16.88%E -3.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -16.88%E -3.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-11 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-11 11:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.34%EV -10.03%E -8.43%K -52.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-11 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -30.31%E -3.79%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -21.58%E -4.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-11 11:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.74% | 1.7% | 2026-07-11 11:40 |
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