The School of Odds

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

2026-07-11 12:00 — Super League - China

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (10 in analysis)

Option 1: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

1.3275.76%Min
1.3773.10%Mean
1.3673.53%Median
1.4469.44%Max
64.37%1.554Min
69.02%1.449Max
67.35%1.485Mean
67.74%1.476Median
67.55%1.480IQM
67.50%1.481Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.44 under the IQM model: 67.55%

EV -2.73%Edge -1.90%Kelly -6.21%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit)

5.7017.54%Min
7.1613.98%Mean
7.2613.77%Median
7.9012.66%Max
12.11%8.258Min
14.91%6.708Max
12.76%7.836Mean
12.44%8.037Median
12.57%7.956IQM
12.65%7.903Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 7.90 under the IQM model: 12.57%

EV -0.698%Edge -0.088%Kelly -0.101%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

4.1024.39%Min
4.6021.74%Mean
4.5521.98%Median
4.9020.41%Max
18.74%5.338Min
20.88%4.788Max
19.89%5.028Mean
19.82%5.046Median
19.88%5.029IQM
19.85%5.039Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.90 under the IQM model: 19.88%

EV -2.57%Edge -0.525%Kelly -0.659%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerChengdu Rongcheng FC (Local) ▼Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
GTbets1.44I 69.44% NM 66.82%EV -2.73% E -1.90% K -6.21% G +0.000%7.26I 13.77% NM 13.25%EV -8.74% E -1.20% K -1.40% G +0.000%4.83I 20.70% NM 19.92%EV -3.96% E -0.820% K -1.03% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 14:05
1xBet1.40I 71.43% NM 68.33%EV -5.43% E -3.88% K -13.59% G +0.000%7.90I 12.66% NM 12.11%EV -0.698% E -0.088% K -0.101% G +0.000%4.89I 20.45% NM 19.56%EV -2.77% E -0.566% K -0.712% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 11:15
Coolbet1.40I 71.43% NM 67.78%EV -5.43% E -3.88% K -13.59% G +0.000%7.75I 12.90% NM 12.24%EV -2.58% E -0.333% K -0.383% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.98%EV -5.55% E -1.17% K -1.48% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 11:15
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43% NM 66.18%EV -5.43% E -3.88% K -13.59% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.24%EV -12.01% E -1.72% K -2.00% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.59%EV -10.52% E -2.34% K -3.01% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 12:05
NordicBet1.39I 71.94% NM 66.61%EV -6.11% E -4.40% K -15.67% G +0.000%7.10I 14.08% NM 13.04%EV -10.75% E -1.51% K -1.76% G +0.000%4.55I 21.98% NM 20.35%EV -9.53% E -2.09% K -2.68% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 12:05
Betsson1.39I 71.94% NM 66.61%EV -6.11% E -4.40% K -15.67% G +0.000%7.10I 14.08% NM 13.04%EV -10.75% E -1.51% K -1.76% G +0.000%4.55I 21.98% NM 20.35%EV -9.53% E -2.09% K -2.68% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 12:05
SportsBet1.38I 72.46% NM 68.23%EV -6.79% E -4.92% K -17.86% G +0.000%7.75I 12.90% NM 12.15%EV -2.58% E -0.333% K -0.383% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 19.62%EV -4.56% E -0.950% K -1.20% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 11:15
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99% NM 68.47%EV -7.46% E -5.45% K -20.17% G +0.000%7.72I 12.95% NM 12.15%EV -2.96% E -0.384% K -0.441% G +0.000%4.84I 20.66% NM 19.38%EV -3.76% E -0.778% K -0.980% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 12:25
FanDuel1.37I 72.99% NM 68.12%EV -7.46% E -5.45% K -20.17% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.44%EV -5.73% E -0.764% K -0.881% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 19.44%EV -4.56% E -0.950% K -1.20% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 11:20
Bet Right1.37I 72.99% NM 67.24%EV -7.46% E -5.45% K -20.17% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.28%EV -5.73% E -0.764% K -0.881% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.47%EV -10.52% E -2.34% K -3.01% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53% NM 68.14%EV -8.14% E -5.98% K -22.60% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.36%EV -5.73% E -0.764% K -0.881% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.51%EV -5.55% E -1.17% K -1.48% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 13:45
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53% NM 68.11%EV -8.14% E -5.98% K -22.60% G +0.000%7.60I 13.16% NM 12.19%EV -4.47% E -0.588% K -0.677% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.71%EV -6.55% E -1.39% K -1.77% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 11:14
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53% NM 67.88%EV -8.14% E -5.98% K -22.60% G +0.000%7.40I 13.51% NM 12.48%EV -6.98% E -0.944% K -1.09% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.64%EV -6.55% E -1.39% K -1.77% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 13:15
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53% NM 67.88%EV -8.14% E -5.98% K -22.60% G +0.000%7.40I 13.51% NM 12.48%EV -6.98% E -0.944% K -1.09% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.64%EV -6.55% E -1.39% K -1.77% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 13:15
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53% NM 67.41%EV -8.14% E -5.98% K -22.60% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.22%EV -5.73% E -0.764% K -0.881% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.37%EV -10.52% E -2.34% K -3.01% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 11:14
888sport1.36I 73.53% NM 66.82%EV -8.14% E -5.98% K -22.60% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 12.98%EV -12.01% E -1.72% K -2.00% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.20%EV -10.52% E -2.34% K -3.01% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 11:50
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53% NM 66.82%EV -8.14% E -5.98% K -22.60% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 12.98%EV -12.01% E -1.72% K -2.00% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.20%EV -10.52% E -2.34% K -3.01% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53% NM 66.82%EV -8.14% E -5.98% K -22.60% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 12.98%EV -12.01% E -1.72% K -2.00% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.20%EV -10.52% E -2.34% K -3.01% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 11:50
William Hill1.36I 73.53% NM 66.82%EV -8.14% E -5.98% K -22.60% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 12.98%EV -12.01% E -1.72% K -2.00% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.20%EV -10.52% E -2.34% K -3.01% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 11:55
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53% NM 66.58%EV -8.14% E -5.98% K -22.60% G +0.000%6.70I 14.93% NM 13.52%EV -15.78% E -2.36% K -2.77% G +0.000%4.55I 21.98% NM 19.90%EV -9.53% E -2.09% K -2.68% G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-05 12:05
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53% NM 64.50%EV -8.14% E -5.98% K -22.60% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 14.62%EV -24.58% E -4.10% K -4.92% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 20.88%EV -16.49% E -3.93% K -5.15% G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-05 11:04
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07% NM 65.28%EV -8.81% E -6.53% K -25.18% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 14.69%EV -24.58% E -4.10% K -4.92% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.03%EV -12.51% E -2.84% K -3.68% G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-05 12:05
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19% NM 69.02%EV -10.16% E -7.64% K -30.80% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.24%EV -5.73% E -0.764% K -0.881% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 18.74%EV -2.57% E -0.525% K -0.659% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 13:00
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19% NM 67.31%EV -10.16% E -7.64% K -30.80% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 12.79%EV -12.01% E -1.72% K -2.00% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 19.90%EV -10.52% E -2.34% K -3.01% G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-05 11:15
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76% NM 64.37%EV -10.84% E -8.21% K -33.87% G +0.000%5.70I 17.54% NM 14.91%EV -28.35% E -4.97% K -6.03% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 20.72%EV -18.48% E -4.51% K -5.96% G +0.000%17.7%2026-07-05 12:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth