La scuola delle quote

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Inizio: 2026-07-11 12:00 UTC

Finale: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1–1 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Casa)

Previsione 75.61%1.32quota equa
EV -2.47%
Vantaggio -1.91%
Kelly -8.51%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.11%75.20%75.69%76.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.231.231.2984.75%81.09%81.30%77.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.71%11.48quota equa
EV +4.53%
Vantaggio +0.378%
Kelly +0.412%
Crescita +0.019%

ipotizzando la quota massima 12.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.74%8.93%8.62%11.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.0010.1510.0012.0012.50%9.86%10.00%8.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 15.68%6.38quota equa
EV -1.19%
Vantaggio -0.189%
Kelly -0.225%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.09%15.87%15.69%17.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.735.756.3020.00%17.46%17.39%15.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV +4.53%E +0.378%K +0.412%G +0.019%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.14%EV -1.19%E -0.189%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 11:44
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.52%E -7.04%K -40.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +4.53%E +0.378%K +0.412%G +0.019%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 11:44
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 76.40%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%11.95I 8.37%NM 7.99%EV +4.10%E +0.343%K +0.374%G +0.015%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.61%EV -4.02%E -0.656%K -0.784%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 11:54
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.25%EV -2.00%E -0.178%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV -7.47%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 11:44
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.98%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 11:38
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 11:54
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.28%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -4.33%E -0.710%K -0.849%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 11:54
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 11:39
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 11:54
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:45
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:39
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 11:54
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 11:54
Paddy Power1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -10.79%E -9.14%K -59.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -10.79%E -9.14%K -59.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 11:49
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.54%EV -2.47%E -1.91%K -8.51%G +0.000%10.93I 9.15%NM 8.80%EV -4.79%E -0.438%K -0.482%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.66%EV -9.50%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 11:40
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 11:39
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 11:54
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 11:54
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.38%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 11:49
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 11:43
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 11:44
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 11:24
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 11:24
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 11:54
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -17.66%E -3.36%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 11:49
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 11:55
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 74.85%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -10.60%E -1.86%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-11 11:54
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 11:39
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 74.96%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -14.63%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.47%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 11:45
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.92%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.33%EV -14.63%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 11:44
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:04
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:04
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:04
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:04
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:05
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:04
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -15.31%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 11:04
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -8.52%E -7.04%K -40.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 11:44
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -16.88%E -3.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 11:04
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -16.88%E -3.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 11:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 11:50
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 74.34%EV -10.03%E -8.43%K -52.79%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 11:55
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -30.31%E -3.79%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -21.58%E -4.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-11 11:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%0.8%2026-07-11 11:54
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%0.8%2026-07-11 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-07-11 11:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-07-11 11:55
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.74%1.7%2026-07-11 11:40