مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

البداية: 2026-07-11 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1–1 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 75.61%1.32السعر العادل
EV -2.47%
الأفضلية -1.91%
Kelly -8.51%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.11%75.20%75.69%76.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.181.231.231.2984.75%81.09%81.30%77.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 8.71%11.48السعر العادل
EV +4.53%
الأفضلية +0.378%
Kelly +0.412%
النمو +0.019%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 12.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.74%8.93%8.62%11.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.0010.1510.0012.0012.50%9.86%10.00%8.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 15.68%6.38السعر العادل
EV -1.19%
الأفضلية -0.189%
Kelly -0.225%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.09%15.87%15.69%17.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.735.756.3020.00%17.46%17.39%15.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV +4.53%E +0.378%K +0.412%G +0.019%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.14%EV -1.19%E -0.189%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 11:44
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.52%E -7.04%K -40.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +4.53%E +0.378%K +0.412%G +0.019%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 11:44
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 76.40%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%11.95I 8.37%NM 7.99%EV +4.10%E +0.343%K +0.374%G +0.015%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.61%EV -4.02%E -0.656%K -0.784%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 11:54
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.25%EV -2.00%E -0.178%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV -7.47%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 11:44
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.98%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 11:38
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 11:54
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.28%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -4.33%E -0.710%K -0.849%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 11:54
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 11:39
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 11:54
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:45
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:39
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 11:54
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 11:54
Paddy Power1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -10.79%E -9.14%K -59.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -10.79%E -9.14%K -59.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 11:49
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.54%EV -2.47%E -1.91%K -8.51%G +0.000%10.93I 9.15%NM 8.80%EV -4.79%E -0.438%K -0.482%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.66%EV -9.50%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 11:40
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 11:39
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 11:54
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 11:54
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.38%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 11:49
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 11:43
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 11:44
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 11:24
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 11:24
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 11:54
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -17.66%E -3.36%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 11:49
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 11:55
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 74.85%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -10.60%E -1.86%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-11 11:54
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 11:39
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 74.96%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -14.63%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.47%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 11:45
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.92%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.33%EV -14.63%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 11:44
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:04
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:04
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:04
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:04
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:05
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:04
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -15.31%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 11:04
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -8.52%E -7.04%K -40.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 11:44
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -16.88%E -3.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 11:04
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -16.88%E -3.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 11:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 11:50
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 74.34%EV -10.03%E -8.43%K -52.79%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 11:55
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -30.31%E -3.79%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -21.58%E -4.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-11 11:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%0.8%2026-07-11 11:54
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%0.8%2026-07-11 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-07-11 11:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-07-11 11:55
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.74%1.7%2026-07-11 11:40