Язык:Русский
Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Хозяева)
Прогноз 75.61%1.32справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.47%
Преимущество -1.91%
Kelly -8.51%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.29
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
71.11%75.20%75.69%76.91%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.181.231.231.2984.75%81.09%81.30%77.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Гости)
Прогноз 8.71%11.48справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.53%
Преимущество +0.378%
Kelly +0.412%
Рост +0.019%
при максимальном коэффициенте 12.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
7.74%8.93%8.62%11.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
8.0010.1510.0012.0012.50%9.86%10.00%8.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 15.68%6.38справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.19%
Преимущество -0.189%
Kelly -0.225%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.09%15.87%15.69%17.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.005.735.756.3020.00%17.46%17.39%15.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Хозяева): 75.61%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Гости): 8.71%; Ничья: 15.68%. Для исхода «Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 11.48. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 12.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.53%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV +4.53%E +0.378%K +0.412%G +0.019% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.14%EV -1.19%E -0.189%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.52%E -7.04%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +4.53%E +0.378%K +0.412%G +0.019% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.40%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 11.95I 8.37%NM 7.99%EV +4.10%E +0.343%K +0.374%G +0.015% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.61%EV -4.02%E -0.656%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.25%EV -2.00%E -0.178%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV -7.47%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.98%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 11:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.28%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -4.33%E -0.710%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-11 11:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-11 11:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-11 11:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -10.79%E -9.14%K -59.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -10.79%E -9.14%K -59.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-11 11:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.54%EV -2.47%E -1.91%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 10.93I 9.15%NM 8.80%EV -4.79%E -0.438%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.66%EV -9.50%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 11:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.38%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 11:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 11:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-11 11:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-11 11:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -17.66%E -3.36%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-11 11:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-11 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.85%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -10.60%E -1.86%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-11 11:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.96%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -14.63%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.47%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-11 11:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.92%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.33%EV -14.63%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -15.31%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -8.52%E -7.04%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -16.88%E -3.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -16.88%E -3.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-11 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-11 11:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.34%EV -10.03%E -8.43%K -52.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-11 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -30.31%E -3.79%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -21.58%E -4.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-11 11:49 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.74% | 1.7% | 2026-07-11 11:40 |